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PROBORA

Market record

BNB Up or Down · 5 Min

10:45 → 10:50 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled10:45 → 10:50 UTC

Market ID bnb-5m-20261115-1045

Settled

Nov 15, 10:50:00 UTC

Price to beat

$597.63
Index at 10:45:00

Final index

$596.96

Settlement price

$596.96
Index at 10:50:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
596.95597.19597.4210:4510:4610:4710:4810:50PTB 597.63

Settlement $596.96

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsWIN
DOWN64.1%High
UP 35.9%64.1% DOWN
Historical accuracy
46.7%
167 markets
Model version
meta-bnb5-v1
published 10:45:07 UTC

Base consensus

6 / 9 DOWN

66.7% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 10:45:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN52.5%
UP 47.5%52.5% DOWN
Medium47.3%167 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentDOWN57.1%
UP 42.9%57.1% DOWN
Medium47.3%167 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN55.2%
UP 44.8%55.2% DOWN
Medium46.7%167 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN58.6%
UP 41.4%58.6% DOWN
Medium47.3%167 marketsWIN
Order Flow AgentUP51.4%
UP 51.4%48.6% DOWN
Low53.9%167 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentDOWN57.8%
UP 42.2%57.8% DOWN
Medium44.3%167 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low51.5%167 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.1%
UP 49.9%50.1% DOWN
Low47.9%167 marketsWIN
Whale Flow AgentUP51.5%
UP 51.5%48.5% DOWN
Low50.9%167 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for BNB: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 10:45:00 UTC

10:45:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps597.63ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD+0.9 bps597.69ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−2.9 bps597.46ok
Median of 3 sources$597.63

Settlement · 10:50:00 UTC

10:50:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps596.96ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD+1.4 bps597.04ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−0.3 bps596.94ok
Median of 3 sources$596.96

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min BNB windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
10:40 → 10:45Nov 15597.58597.63UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.9%LOSS
10:35 → 10:40Nov 15597.35597.58UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.1%LOSS
10:30 → 10:35Nov 15597.30597.35UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.9%LOSS
10:25 → 10:30Nov 15597.15597.30UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN65.7%LOSS
10:20 → 10:25Nov 15597.11597.15UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN65.4%LOSS
10:15 → 10:20Nov 15598.09597.11DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN65.6%WIN
10:10 → 10:15Nov 15597.61598.09UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN68.7%LOSS
10:05 → 10:10Nov 15596.50597.61UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.1%LOSS
10:00 → 10:05Nov 15595.30596.50UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN65.8%LOSS
09:55 → 10:00Nov 15596.16595.30DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN66.8%WIN
09:50 → 09:55Nov 15595.92596.16UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN68.2%LOSS
09:45 → 09:50Nov 15596.78595.92DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.0%WIN

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on BNB · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · BNB 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Order Flow Agent53.9%167 mkts
  2. 2Whale Flow Agent50.9%167 mkts
  3. 3Liquidation Agent51.5%167 mkts
  4. 4OI/Funding Agent47.9%167 mkts
  5. 5Mean Reversion Agent46.7%167 mkts
  6. 6Trend Agent47.3%167 mkts

About this market

BNB · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology