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PROBORA

Market record

BNB Up or Down · 5 Min

10:20 → 10:25 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled10:20 → 10:25 UTC

Market ID bnb-5m-20261115-1020

Settled

Nov 15, 10:25:00 UTC

Price to beat

$597.11
Index at 10:20:00

Final index

$597.15

Settlement price

$597.15
Index at 10:25:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
596.65596.94597.23597.5210:2010:2110:2210:2310:25PTB 597.11

Settlement $597.15

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
DOWN65.4%High
UP 34.6%65.4% DOWN
Historical accuracy
45.2%
157 markets
Model version
meta-bnb5-v1
published 10:20:04 UTC

Base consensus

6 / 9 DOWN

66.7% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 10:20:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN57.0%
UP 43.0%57.0% DOWN
Medium45.9%157 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentDOWN55.9%
UP 44.1%55.9% DOWN
Medium45.9%157 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN55.4%
UP 44.6%55.4% DOWN
Medium45.2%157 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN58.5%
UP 41.5%58.5% DOWN
Medium45.9%157 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentDOWN50.5%
UP 49.5%50.5% DOWN
Low54.8%157 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentDOWN57.1%
UP 42.9%57.1% DOWN
Medium43.9%157 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low52.9%157 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low47.8%157 marketsWIN
Whale Flow AgentUP50.2%
UP 50.2%49.8% DOWN
Low50.3%157 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for BNB: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 10:20:00 UTC

10:20:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps597.11ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD+1.1 bps597.17ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−1.1 bps597.04ok
Median of 3 sources$597.11

Settlement · 10:25:00 UTC

10:25:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps597.15ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD+0.9 bps597.20ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−0.1 bps597.14ok
Median of 3 sources$597.15

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min BNB windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
10:15 → 10:20Nov 15598.09597.11DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN65.6%WIN
10:10 → 10:15Nov 15597.61598.09UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN68.7%LOSS
10:05 → 10:10Nov 15596.50597.61UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.1%LOSS
10:00 → 10:05Nov 15595.30596.50UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN65.8%LOSS
09:55 → 10:00Nov 15596.16595.30DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN66.8%WIN
09:50 → 09:55Nov 15595.92596.16UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN68.2%LOSS
09:45 → 09:50Nov 15596.78595.92DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.0%WIN
09:40 → 09:45Nov 15596.12596.78UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN63.1%LOSS
09:35 → 09:40Nov 15595.78596.12UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.4%LOSS
09:30 → 09:35Nov 15596.89595.78DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN63.2%WIN
09:25 → 09:30Nov 15——VOID—Insufficient Data
09:20 → 09:25Nov 15596.91596.33DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN68.3%WIN

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on BNB · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · BNB 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Order Flow Agent54.8%157 mkts
  2. 2Liquidation Agent52.9%157 mkts
  3. 3Whale Flow Agent50.3%157 mkts
  4. 4OI/Funding Agent47.8%157 mkts
  5. 5Trend Agent45.9%157 mkts
  6. 6Momentum Agent45.9%157 mkts

About this market

BNB · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology