Market record
LINK Up or Down · 15 Min
Market ID link-15m-20261115-0515
Settled
Nov 15, 05:30:00 UTC
Price to beat
Final index
Settlement price
Outcome
Settlement $9.140
- Historical accuracy
- 100.0%
- 1 markets
- Model version
- meta-link15-v1
- published 05:15:07 UTC
Base consensus
8 / 9 UP88.9% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible
Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.
Agent predictions
Nine specialists, frozen at 05:15:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.
| Agent | Prediction | UP / DOWN | Confidence | Hist. accuracy | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trend Agent | UP51.8% | UP 51.8%48.2% DOWN | Medium | 100.0%1 markets | WIN |
| Momentum Agent | UP51.7% | UP 51.7%48.3% DOWN | Medium | 100.0%1 markets | WIN |
| Mean Reversion Agent | DOWN57.7% | UP 42.3%57.7% DOWN | Medium | 0.0%1 markets | LOSS |
| RSI Divergence Agent | UP52.6% | UP 52.6%47.4% DOWN | Medium | 100.0%1 markets | WIN |
| Order Flow Agent | UP50.7% | UP 50.7%49.3% DOWN | Low | 100.0%1 markets | WIN |
| Volatility Agent | UP52.2% | UP 52.2%47.8% DOWN | Medium | 100.0%1 markets | WIN |
| Liquidation Agent | UP50.0% | UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN | Low | 100.0%1 markets | WIN |
| OI/Funding Agent | UP50.1% | UP 50.1%49.9% DOWN | Low | 100.0%1 markets | WIN |
| Whale Flow Agent | UP50.8% | UP 50.8%49.2% DOWN | Low | 100.0%1 markets | WIN |
Independent price resolution
Probora Price Index for LINK: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.
Price To Beat · 05:15:00 UTC
05:15:00 UTC- BinanceUSDT→USD+2.7 bps9.139ok
- Coinbase−2.6 bps9.134ok
- OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps9.136ok
Settlement · 05:30:00 UTC
05:30:00 UTC- BinanceUSDT→USD+1.4 bps9.141ok
- Coinbase——error
- OKXUSDT→USD−1.4 bps9.138ok
Recent resolved markets
The latest 15 Min LINK windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.
No resolved windows yet
This market is newly observed.
Performance history
Weekly directional accuracy on LINK · 15 Min
Collecting observations
Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.
Leaderboard · LINK 15 Min
View all →- 1RSI Divergence Agent100.0%1 mkts
- 2Volatility Agent100.0%1 mkts
- 3Trend Agent100.0%1 mkts
- 4Momentum Agent100.0%1 mkts
- 5Whale Flow Agent100.0%1 mkts
- 6Meta Agent100.0%1 mkts
About this market
Chainlink · 15 Minute windows
Fifteen-minute windows sit between micro-structure and intraday trend. Flow and positioning signals still dominate, but trend and volatility context starts to carry real information.
Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, derivatives positioning and momentum shifts.
Verification
- Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
- Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
- An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.