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PROBORA

Market record

LINK Up or Down · 15 Min

05:15 → 05:30 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled05:15 → 05:30 UTC

Market ID link-15m-20261115-0515

Settled

Nov 15, 05:30:00 UTC

Price to beat

$9.136
Index at 05:15:00

Final index

$9.140

Settlement price

$9.140
Index at 05:30:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
9.1279.1469.15505:1505:1805:2205:2605:30PTB 9.136

Settlement $9.140

UP50.8%Medium
UP 50.8%49.2% DOWN
Historical accuracy
100.0%
1 markets
Model version
meta-link15-v1
published 05:15:07 UTC

Base consensus

8 / 9 UP

88.9% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 05:15:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentUP51.8%
UP 51.8%48.2% DOWN
Medium100.0%1 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentUP51.7%
UP 51.7%48.3% DOWN
Medium100.0%1 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN57.7%
UP 42.3%57.7% DOWN
Medium0.0%1 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentUP52.6%
UP 52.6%47.4% DOWN
Medium100.0%1 marketsWIN
Order Flow AgentUP50.7%
UP 50.7%49.3% DOWN
Low100.0%1 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentUP52.2%
UP 52.2%47.8% DOWN
Medium100.0%1 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low100.0%1 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentUP50.1%
UP 50.1%49.9% DOWN
Low100.0%1 marketsWIN
Whale Flow AgentUP50.8%
UP 50.8%49.2% DOWN
Low100.0%1 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for LINK: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 05:15:00 UTC

05:15:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+2.7 bps9.139ok
  • Coinbase−2.6 bps9.134ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps9.136ok
Median of 3 sources$9.136

Settlement · 05:30:00 UTC

05:30:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+1.4 bps9.141ok
  • Coinbase——error
  • OKXUSDT→USD−1.4 bps9.138ok
Median of 2 sources$9.140

Recent resolved markets

The latest 15 Min LINK windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

No resolved windows yet

This market is newly observed.

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on LINK · 15 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · LINK 15 Min

View all →
  1. 1RSI Divergence Agent100.0%1 mkts
  2. 2Volatility Agent100.0%1 mkts
  3. 3Trend Agent100.0%1 mkts
  4. 4Momentum Agent100.0%1 mkts
  5. 5Whale Flow Agent100.0%1 mkts
  6. 6Meta Agent100.0%1 mkts

About this market

Chainlink · 15 Minute windows

Fifteen-minute windows sit between micro-structure and intraday trend. Flow and positioning signals still dominate, but trend and volatility context starts to carry real information.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, derivatives positioning and momentum shifts.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology