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PROBORA

Market record

LINK Up or Down · 15 Min

05:30 → 05:45 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled05:30 → 05:45 UTC

Market ID link-15m-20261115-0530

Settled

Nov 15, 05:45:00 UTC

Price to beat

$9.140
Index at 05:30:00

Final index

$9.137

Settlement price

$9.137
Index at 05:45:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
9.1199.1289.1379.14605:3005:3305:3705:4105:45PTB 9.140

Settlement $9.137

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsWIN
DOWN52.8%Low
UP 47.2%52.8% DOWN
Historical accuracy
100.0%
2 markets
Model version
meta-link15-v1
published 05:30:07 UTC

Base consensus

6 / 9 UP

66.7% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 05:30:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN56.3%
UP 43.7%56.3% DOWN
Medium100.0%2 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentUP52.9%
UP 52.9%47.1% DOWN
Medium50.0%2 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN56.8%
UP 43.2%56.8% DOWN
Medium50.0%2 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN58.7%
UP 41.3%58.7% DOWN
Medium100.0%2 marketsWIN
Order Flow AgentUP51.0%
UP 51.0%49.0% DOWN
Low50.0%2 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentUP51.2%
UP 51.2%48.8% DOWN
Medium50.0%2 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low50.0%2 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentUP50.2%
UP 50.2%49.8% DOWN
Low50.0%2 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentUP51.0%
UP 51.0%49.0% DOWN
Low50.0%2 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for LINK: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 05:30:00 UTC

05:30:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+1.4 bps9.141ok
  • Coinbase——error
  • OKXUSDT→USD−1.4 bps9.138ok
Median of 2 sources$9.140

Settlement · 05:45:00 UTC

05:45:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−0.5 bps9.137ok
  • Coinbase+1.9 bps9.139ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps9.137ok
Median of 3 sources$9.137

Recent resolved markets

The latest 15 Min LINK windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
05:15 → 05:30Nov 159.1369.140UP8 / 9 UPUP50.8%WIN

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on LINK · 15 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · LINK 15 Min

View all →
  1. 1Trend Agent100.0%2 mkts
  2. 2RSI Divergence Agent100.0%2 mkts
  3. 3Meta Agent100.0%2 mkts
  4. 4Volatility Agent50.0%2 mkts
  5. 5Liquidation Agent50.0%2 mkts
  6. 6OI/Funding Agent50.0%2 mkts

About this market

Chainlink · 15 Minute windows

Fifteen-minute windows sit between micro-structure and intraday trend. Flow and positioning signals still dominate, but trend and volatility context starts to carry real information.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, derivatives positioning and momentum shifts.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology