Skip to content
PROBORA

Market record

LINK Up or Down · 15 Min

05:45 → 06:00 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Live05:45 → 06:00 UTC

Market ID link-15m-20261115-0545

Settles in

01:28

Price to beat

$9.137
Index at 05:45:00

Current index

$9.127
−0.010(-0.109%)

Settlement price

—
Fixed at settlement

Outcome

Pending
Resolves at 06:00:00
9.1179.1249.13005:4505:4805:5205:5606:00PTB 9.137
DOWN51.0%Low
UP 49.0%51.0% DOWN
Historical accuracy
100.0%
2 markets
Model version
meta-link15-v1
published 05:45:07 UTC

Base consensus

5 / 9 UP

55.6% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 05:45:00 UTC with their model versions. Results appear the moment the window settles.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracy
Trend AgentDOWN50.7%
UP 49.3%50.7% DOWN
Medium100.0%2 markets
Momentum AgentDOWN50.7%
UP 49.3%50.7% DOWN
Medium50.0%2 markets
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN56.2%
UP 43.8%56.2% DOWN
Medium50.0%2 markets
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN51.5%
UP 48.5%51.5% DOWN
Medium100.0%2 markets
Order Flow AgentUP50.7%
UP 50.7%49.3% DOWN
Low50.0%2 markets
Volatility AgentUP50.6%
UP 50.6%49.4% DOWN
Medium50.0%2 markets
Liquidation AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low50.0%2 markets
OI/Funding AgentUP50.1%
UP 50.1%49.9% DOWN
Low50.0%2 markets
Whale Flow AgentUP50.3%
UP 50.3%49.7% DOWN
Low50.0%2 markets

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for LINK: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 05:45:00 UTC

05:45:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−0.5 bps9.137ok
  • Coinbase+1.9 bps9.139ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps9.137ok
Median of 3 sources$9.137

Current index

05:58:29 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−3.8 bps9.123ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps9.127ok
  • Coinbase+1.4 bps9.128ok
Median of 3 sources$9.127

Recent resolved markets

The latest 15 Min LINK windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
05:30 → 05:45Nov 159.1409.137DOWN6 / 9 UPDOWN52.8%WIN
05:15 → 05:30Nov 159.1369.140UP8 / 9 UPUP50.8%WIN

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on LINK · 15 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · LINK 15 Min

View all →
  1. 1Trend Agent100.0%2 mkts
  2. 2RSI Divergence Agent100.0%2 mkts
  3. 3Meta Agent100.0%2 mkts
  4. 4Volatility Agent50.0%2 mkts
  5. 5Liquidation Agent50.0%2 mkts
  6. 6OI/Funding Agent50.0%2 mkts

About this market

Chainlink · 15 Minute windows

Fifteen-minute windows sit between micro-structure and intraday trend. Flow and positioning signals still dominate, but trend and volatility context starts to carry real information.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, derivatives positioning and momentum shifts.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology