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PROBORA

Market record

LINK Up or Down · 15 Min

06:00 → 06:15 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Live06:00 → 06:15 UTC

Market ID link-15m-20261115-0600

Settles in

08:31

Price to beat

$9.108
Index at 06:00:00

Current index

$9.078
−0.030(-0.329%)

Settlement price

—
Fixed at settlement

Outcome

Pending
Resolves at 06:15:00
9.0739.0869.09806:0006:0306:0706:1106:15PTB 9.108
Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialists
UP50.5%Low
UP 50.5%49.5% DOWN
Historical accuracy
100.0%
3 markets
Model version
meta-link15-v1
published 06:00:12 UTC

Base consensus

6 / 9 UP

66.7% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 06:00:00 UTC with their model versions. Results appear the moment the window settles.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracy
Trend AgentUP51.3%
UP 51.3%48.7% DOWN
Medium100.0%3 markets
Momentum AgentDOWN52.4%
UP 47.6%52.4% DOWN
Medium66.7%3 markets
Mean Reversion AgentUP51.9%
UP 51.9%48.1% DOWN
Medium66.7%3 markets
RSI Divergence AgentUP52.0%
UP 52.0%48.0% DOWN
Medium100.0%3 markets
Order Flow AgentDOWN51.3%
UP 48.7%51.3% DOWN
Low33.3%3 markets
Volatility AgentUP51.4%
UP 51.4%48.6% DOWN
Medium33.3%3 markets
Liquidation AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low33.3%3 markets
OI/Funding AgentUP50.2%
UP 50.2%49.8% DOWN
Low33.3%3 markets
Whale Flow AgentDOWN51.7%
UP 48.3%51.7% DOWN
Low33.3%3 markets

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for LINK: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 06:00:00 UTC

06:00:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−2.7 bps9.105ok
  • Coinbase+0.3 bps9.108ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps9.108ok
Median of 3 sources$9.108

Current index

06:06:27 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+4.6 bps9.082ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−3.7 bps9.075ok
  • Coinbase0.0 bps9.078ok
Median of 3 sources$9.078

Recent resolved markets

The latest 15 Min LINK windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
05:45 → 06:00Nov 159.1379.108DOWN5 / 9 UPDOWN51.0%WIN
05:30 → 05:45Nov 159.1409.137DOWN6 / 9 UPDOWN52.8%WIN
05:15 → 05:30Nov 159.1369.140UP8 / 9 UPUP50.8%WIN

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on LINK · 15 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · LINK 15 Min

View all →
  1. 1Trend Agent100.0%3 mkts
  2. 2RSI Divergence Agent100.0%3 mkts
  3. 3Meta Agent100.0%3 mkts
  4. 4Mean Reversion Agent66.7%3 mkts
  5. 5Momentum Agent66.7%3 mkts
  6. 6Volatility Agent33.3%3 mkts

About this market

Chainlink · 15 Minute windows

Fifteen-minute windows sit between micro-structure and intraday trend. Flow and positioning signals still dominate, but trend and volatility context starts to carry real information.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, derivatives positioning and momentum shifts.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology