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PROBORA

Market record

LINK Up or Down · 15 Min

06:15 → 06:30 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Live06:15 → 06:30 UTC

Market ID link-15m-20261115-0615

Settles in

11:24

Price to beat

$9.060
Index at 06:15:00

Current index

$9.099
+0.039(0.430%)

Settlement price

—
Fixed at settlement

Outcome

Pending
Resolves at 06:30:00
9.0719.0849.09806:1506:1806:2206:2606:30PTB 9.060
Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialists
UP50.9%Low
UP 50.9%49.1% DOWN
Historical accuracy
100.0%
3 markets
Model version
meta-link15-v1
published 06:15:07 UTC

Base consensus

5 / 9 UP

55.6% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 06:15:00 UTC with their model versions. Results appear the moment the window settles.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracy
Trend AgentUP62.9%
UP 62.9%37.1% DOWN
Medium100.0%3 markets
Momentum AgentDOWN51.5%
UP 48.5%51.5% DOWN
Medium66.7%3 markets
Mean Reversion AgentUP51.7%
UP 51.7%48.3% DOWN
Medium66.7%3 markets
RSI Divergence AgentUP56.3%
UP 56.3%43.7% DOWN
Medium100.0%3 markets
Order Flow AgentDOWN52.3%
UP 47.7%52.3% DOWN
Low33.3%3 markets
Volatility AgentDOWN56.0%
UP 44.0%56.0% DOWN
Medium33.3%3 markets
Liquidation AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low33.3%3 markets
OI/Funding AgentUP50.2%
UP 50.2%49.8% DOWN
Low33.3%3 markets
Whale Flow AgentDOWN51.3%
UP 48.7%51.3% DOWN
Low33.3%3 markets

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for LINK: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 06:15:00 UTC

06:15:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−0.6 bps9.059ok
  • Coinbase+1.5 bps9.061ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps9.060ok
Median of 3 sources$9.060

Current index

06:18:35 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−2.7 bps9.096ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps9.099ok
  • Coinbase+0.3 bps9.099ok
Median of 3 sources$9.099

Recent resolved markets

The latest 15 Min LINK windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
06:00 → 06:15Nov 159.108—VOID6 / 9 UPUP50.5%VOID
05:45 → 06:00Nov 159.1379.108DOWN5 / 9 UPDOWN51.0%WIN
05:30 → 05:45Nov 159.1409.137DOWN6 / 9 UPDOWN52.8%WIN
05:15 → 05:30Nov 159.1369.140UP8 / 9 UPUP50.8%WIN

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on LINK · 15 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · LINK 15 Min

View all →
  1. 1Trend Agent100.0%3 mkts
  2. 2RSI Divergence Agent100.0%3 mkts
  3. 3Meta Agent100.0%3 mkts
  4. 4Mean Reversion Agent66.7%3 mkts
  5. 5Momentum Agent66.7%3 mkts
  6. 6Volatility Agent33.3%3 mkts

About this market

Chainlink · 15 Minute windows

Fifteen-minute windows sit between micro-structure and intraday trend. Flow and positioning signals still dominate, but trend and volatility context starts to carry real information.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, derivatives positioning and momentum shifts.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology