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PROBORA

Market record

LINK Up or Down · 5 Min

05:25 → 05:30 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled05:25 → 05:30 UTC

Market ID link-5m-20261115-0525

Settled

Nov 15, 05:30:00 UTC

Price to beat

$9.149
Index at 05:25:00

Final index

$9.140

Settlement price

$9.140
Index at 05:30:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
9.1259.1339.14005:2505:2605:2705:2805:30PTB 9.149

Settlement $9.140

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsWIN
DOWN64.9%High
UP 35.1%64.9% DOWN
Historical accuracy
60.0%
5 markets
Model version
meta-link5-v1
published 05:25:05 UTC

Base consensus

5 / 9 DOWN

55.6% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 05:25:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN57.4%
UP 42.6%57.4% DOWN
Medium60.0%5 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentDOWN62.7%
UP 37.3%62.7% DOWN
Medium60.0%5 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN54.8%
UP 45.2%54.8% DOWN
Medium60.0%5 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN60.9%
UP 39.1%60.9% DOWN
Medium60.0%5 marketsWIN
Order Flow AgentUP50.9%
UP 50.9%49.1% DOWN
Low60.0%5 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentDOWN51.6%
UP 48.4%51.6% DOWN
Medium60.0%5 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low40.0%5 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentUP50.1%
UP 50.1%49.9% DOWN
Low40.0%5 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentUP51.0%
UP 51.0%49.0% DOWN
Low20.0%5 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for LINK: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 05:25:00 UTC

05:25:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+0.8 bps9.150ok
  • Coinbase0.0 bps9.149ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−1.9 bps9.147ok
Median of 3 sources$9.149

Settlement · 05:30:00 UTC

05:30:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+1.4 bps9.141ok
  • Coinbase——error
  • OKXUSDT→USD−1.4 bps9.138ok
Median of 2 sources$9.140

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min LINK windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
05:20 → 05:25Nov 159.1559.149DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.0%WIN
05:15 → 05:20Nov 159.1369.155UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.6%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on LINK · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · LINK 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Momentum Agent60.0%5 mkts
  2. 2RSI Divergence Agent60.0%5 mkts
  3. 3Trend Agent60.0%5 mkts
  4. 4Order Flow Agent60.0%5 mkts
  5. 5Meta Agent60.0%5 mkts
  6. 6Mean Reversion Agent60.0%5 mkts

About this market

Chainlink · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology