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PROBORA

Market record

LINK Up or Down · 5 Min

07:15 → 07:20 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled07:15 → 07:20 UTC

Market ID link-5m-20261115-0715

Settled

Nov 15, 07:20:00 UTC

Price to beat

$9.085
Index at 07:15:00

Final index

$9.104

Settlement price

$9.104
Index at 07:20:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
9.0949.1039.11107:1507:1607:1707:1807:20PTB 9.085

Settlement $9.104

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
DOWN66.9%High
UP 33.1%66.9% DOWN
Historical accuracy
50.0%
40 markets
Model version
meta-link5-v1
published 07:15:06 UTC

Base consensus

5 / 9 DOWN

55.6% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 07:15:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN59.1%
UP 40.9%59.1% DOWN
Medium55.0%40 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentDOWN64.4%
UP 35.6%64.4% DOWN
Medium50.0%40 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN55.6%
UP 44.4%55.6% DOWN
Medium57.5%40 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN57.6%
UP 42.4%57.6% DOWN
Medium50.0%40 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentUP51.2%
UP 51.2%48.8% DOWN
Low55.0%40 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentDOWN52.2%
UP 47.8%52.2% DOWN
Medium40.0%40 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low50.0%40 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentUP50.2%
UP 50.2%49.8% DOWN
Low47.5%40 marketsWIN
Whale Flow AgentUP51.8%
UP 51.8%48.2% DOWN
Low52.5%40 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for LINK: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 07:15:00 UTC

07:15:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−0.5 bps9.085ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps9.085ok
  • Coinbase+7.2 bps9.092ok
Median of 3 sources$9.085

Settlement · 07:20:00 UTC

07:20:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−1.6 bps9.102ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps9.104ok
  • Coinbase+7.1 bps9.110ok
Median of 3 sources$9.104

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min LINK windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
07:10 → 07:15Nov 159.1069.085DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN70.4%WIN
07:05 → 07:10Nov 159.0789.106UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN62.4%LOSS
07:00 → 07:05Nov 159.1049.078DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN68.0%WIN
06:55 → 07:00Nov 159.0989.104UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.4%LOSS
06:50 → 06:55Nov 159.1189.098DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN69.7%WIN
06:45 → 06:50Nov 159.1199.118DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN68.6%WIN
06:40 → 06:45Nov 159.0999.119UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN66.8%LOSS
06:35 → 06:40Nov 159.0999.099FLAT7 / 9 DOWNDOWN68.4%PUSH
06:30 → 06:35Nov 159.1199.099DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN70.3%WIN
06:25 → 06:30Nov 159.1019.119UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN71.8%LOSS
06:20 → 06:25Nov 159.1069.101DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN69.4%WIN
06:15 → 06:20Nov 159.0609.106UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.2%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on LINK · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · LINK 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Trend Agent55.0%40 mkts
  2. 2Whale Flow Agent52.5%40 mkts
  3. 3Order Flow Agent55.0%40 mkts
  4. 4Liquidation Agent50.0%40 mkts
  5. 5Mean Reversion Agent57.5%40 mkts
  6. 6OI/Funding Agent47.5%40 mkts

About this market

Chainlink · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology