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PROBORA

Market record

LINK Up or Down · 5 Min

06:30 → 06:35 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled06:30 → 06:35 UTC

Market ID link-5m-20261115-0630

Settled

Nov 15, 06:35:00 UTC

Price to beat

$9.119
Index at 06:30:00

Final index

$9.099

Settlement price

$9.099
Index at 06:35:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
9.1009.1089.1179.12506:3006:3106:3206:3306:35PTB 9.119

Settlement $9.099

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsWIN
DOWN70.3%High
UP 29.7%70.3% DOWN
Historical accuracy
61.5%
26 markets
Model version
meta-link5-v1
published 06:30:07 UTC

Base consensus

5 / 9 DOWN

55.6% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 06:30:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN60.7%
UP 39.3%60.7% DOWN
Medium61.5%26 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentDOWN59.4%
UP 40.6%59.4% DOWN
Medium65.4%26 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN62.4%
UP 37.6%62.4% DOWN
Medium65.4%26 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN59.9%
UP 40.1%59.9% DOWN
Medium61.5%26 marketsWIN
Order Flow AgentUP50.2%
UP 50.2%49.8% DOWN
Low50.0%26 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentDOWN62.7%
UP 37.3%62.7% DOWN
Medium46.2%26 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low38.5%26 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentUP50.1%
UP 50.1%49.9% DOWN
Low38.5%26 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentUP51.5%
UP 51.5%48.5% DOWN
Low38.5%26 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for LINK: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 06:30:00 UTC

06:30:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−0.5 bps9.118ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps9.119ok
  • Coinbase+2.5 bps9.121ok
Median of 3 sources$9.119

Settlement · 06:35:00 UTC

06:35:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps9.099ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−0.5 bps9.099ok
  • Coinbase+3.1 bps9.102ok
Median of 3 sources$9.099

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min LINK windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
06:25 → 06:30Nov 159.1019.119UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN71.8%LOSS
06:20 → 06:25Nov 159.1069.101DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN69.4%WIN
06:15 → 06:20Nov 159.0609.106UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.2%LOSS
06:10 → 06:15Nov 15——VOID—Insufficient Data
06:05 → 06:10Nov 159.072—VOID6 / 9 UPUP56.1%VOID
06:00 → 06:05Nov 159.1089.072DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.9%WIN
05:55 → 06:00Nov 159.1229.108DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN57.2%WIN
05:50 → 05:55Nov 159.1299.122DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.8%WIN
05:45 → 05:50Nov 159.1379.129DOWN5 / 9 UPDOWN59.2%WIN
05:40 → 05:45Nov 159.1329.137UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN59.9%LOSS
05:35 → 05:40Nov 159.1269.132UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.4%LOSS
05:30 → 05:35Nov 159.1409.126DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.7%WIN

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on LINK · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · LINK 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Momentum Agent65.4%26 mkts
  2. 2Mean Reversion Agent65.4%26 mkts
  3. 3Trend Agent61.5%26 mkts
  4. 4Meta Agent61.5%26 mkts
  5. 5RSI Divergence Agent61.5%26 mkts
  6. 6Order Flow Agent50.0%26 mkts

About this market

Chainlink · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology