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PROBORA

Market record

LINK Up or Down · 5 Min

05:55 → 06:00 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled05:55 → 06:00 UTC

Market ID link-5m-20261115-0555

Settled

Nov 15, 06:00:00 UTC

Price to beat

$9.122
Index at 05:55:00

Final index

$9.108

Settlement price

$9.108
Index at 06:00:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
9.1099.1159.12705:5505:5605:5705:5806:00PTB 9.122

Settlement $9.108

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsWIN
DOWN57.2%Medium
UP 42.8%57.2% DOWN
Historical accuracy
64.3%
14 markets
Model version
meta-link5-v1
published 05:55:08 UTC

Base consensus

5 / 9 DOWN

55.6% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 05:55:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN57.0%
UP 43.0%57.0% DOWN
Medium64.3%14 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentDOWN56.1%
UP 43.9%56.1% DOWN
Medium71.4%14 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN58.2%
UP 41.8%58.2% DOWN
Medium71.4%14 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN54.4%
UP 45.6%54.4% DOWN
Medium64.3%14 marketsWIN
Order Flow AgentDOWN51.1%
UP 48.9%51.1% DOWN
Low57.1%14 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentUP51.9%
UP 51.9%48.1% DOWN
Medium42.9%14 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low35.7%14 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentUP50.2%
UP 50.2%49.8% DOWN
Low35.7%14 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentUP50.3%
UP 50.3%49.7% DOWN
Low35.7%14 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for LINK: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 05:55:00 UTC

05:55:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−0.5 bps9.121ok
  • Coinbase+3.7 bps9.125ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps9.122ok
Median of 3 sources$9.122

Settlement · 06:00:00 UTC

06:00:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−2.7 bps9.105ok
  • Coinbase+0.3 bps9.108ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps9.108ok
Median of 3 sources$9.108

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min LINK windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
05:50 → 05:55Nov 159.1299.122DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.8%WIN
05:45 → 05:50Nov 159.1379.129DOWN5 / 9 UPDOWN59.2%WIN
05:40 → 05:45Nov 159.1329.137UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN59.9%LOSS
05:35 → 05:40Nov 159.1269.132UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.4%LOSS
05:30 → 05:35Nov 159.1409.126DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.7%WIN
05:25 → 05:30Nov 159.1499.140DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.9%WIN
05:20 → 05:25Nov 159.1559.149DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.0%WIN
05:15 → 05:20Nov 159.1369.155UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.6%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on LINK · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · LINK 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Mean Reversion Agent71.4%14 mkts
  2. 2Momentum Agent71.4%14 mkts
  3. 3Trend Agent64.3%14 mkts
  4. 4Meta Agent64.3%14 mkts
  5. 5RSI Divergence Agent64.3%14 mkts
  6. 6Order Flow Agent57.1%14 mkts

About this market

Chainlink · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology