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PROBORA

Market record

LINK Up or Down · 5 Min

05:35 → 05:40 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled05:35 → 05:40 UTC

Market ID link-5m-20261115-0535

Settled

Nov 15, 05:40:00 UTC

Price to beat

$9.126
Index at 05:35:00

Final index

$9.132

Settlement price

$9.132
Index at 05:40:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
9.1189.1239.1279.13205:3505:3605:3705:3805:40PTB 9.126

Settlement $9.132

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
DOWN67.4%High
UP 32.6%67.4% DOWN
Historical accuracy
62.5%
8 markets
Model version
meta-link5-v1
published 05:35:04 UTC

Base consensus

6 / 9 DOWN

66.7% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 05:35:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN59.3%
UP 40.7%59.3% DOWN
Medium62.5%8 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentDOWN57.8%
UP 42.2%57.8% DOWN
Medium62.5%8 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN56.9%
UP 43.1%56.9% DOWN
Medium62.5%8 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN54.7%
UP 45.3%54.7% DOWN
Medium62.5%8 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentUP51.6%
UP 51.6%48.4% DOWN
Low62.5%8 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentDOWN60.0%
UP 40.0%60.0% DOWN
Medium50.0%8 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low37.5%8 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentUP50.2%
UP 50.2%49.8% DOWN
Low37.5%8 marketsWIN
Whale Flow AgentDOWN50.7%
UP 49.3%50.7% DOWN
Low37.5%8 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for LINK: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 05:35:00 UTC

05:35:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+0.5 bps9.127ok
  • Coinbase−4.6 bps9.122ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps9.126ok
Median of 3 sources$9.126

Settlement · 05:40:00 UTC

05:40:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps9.132ok
  • Coinbase+0.2 bps9.132ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−0.5 bps9.131ok
Median of 3 sources$9.132

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min LINK windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
05:30 → 05:35Nov 159.1409.126DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.7%WIN
05:25 → 05:30Nov 159.1499.140DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.9%WIN
05:20 → 05:25Nov 159.1559.149DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.0%WIN
05:15 → 05:20Nov 159.1369.155UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.6%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on LINK · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · LINK 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Momentum Agent62.5%8 mkts
  2. 2RSI Divergence Agent62.5%8 mkts
  3. 3Mean Reversion Agent62.5%8 mkts
  4. 4Trend Agent62.5%8 mkts
  5. 5Meta Agent62.5%8 mkts
  6. 6Order Flow Agent62.5%8 mkts

About this market

Chainlink · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology