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PROBORA

Market record

LINK Up or Down · 5 Min

05:50 → 05:55 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled05:50 → 05:55 UTC

Market ID link-5m-20261115-0550

Settled

Nov 15, 05:55:00 UTC

Price to beat

$9.129
Index at 05:50:00

Final index

$9.122

Settlement price

$9.122
Index at 05:55:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
9.1239.1289.1329.13705:5005:5105:5205:5305:55PTB 9.129

Settlement $9.122

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsWIN
DOWN64.8%High
UP 35.2%64.8% DOWN
Historical accuracy
66.7%
12 markets
Model version
meta-link5-v1
published 05:50:04 UTC

Base consensus

7 / 9 DOWN

77.8% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 05:50:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN57.3%
UP 42.7%57.3% DOWN
Medium66.7%12 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentDOWN57.7%
UP 42.3%57.7% DOWN
Medium75.0%12 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN62.7%
UP 37.3%62.7% DOWN
Medium75.0%12 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN57.6%
UP 42.4%57.6% DOWN
Medium66.7%12 marketsWIN
Order Flow AgentDOWN50.8%
UP 49.2%50.8% DOWN
Low58.3%12 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentDOWN51.6%
UP 48.4%51.6% DOWN
Medium41.7%12 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low33.3%12 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentUP50.2%
UP 50.2%49.8% DOWN
Low33.3%12 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentDOWN51.7%
UP 48.3%51.7% DOWN
Low33.3%12 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for LINK: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 05:50:00 UTC

05:50:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+0.5 bps9.130ok
  • Coinbase−1.5 bps9.128ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps9.129ok
Median of 3 sources$9.129

Settlement · 05:55:00 UTC

05:55:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−0.5 bps9.121ok
  • Coinbase+3.7 bps9.125ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps9.122ok
Median of 3 sources$9.122

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min LINK windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
05:45 → 05:50Nov 159.1379.129DOWN5 / 9 UPDOWN59.2%WIN
05:40 → 05:45Nov 159.1329.137UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN59.9%LOSS
05:35 → 05:40Nov 159.1269.132UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.4%LOSS
05:30 → 05:35Nov 159.1409.126DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.7%WIN
05:25 → 05:30Nov 159.1499.140DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.9%WIN
05:20 → 05:25Nov 159.1559.149DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.0%WIN
05:15 → 05:20Nov 159.1369.155UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.6%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on LINK · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · LINK 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Momentum Agent75.0%12 mkts
  2. 2Mean Reversion Agent75.0%12 mkts
  3. 3Trend Agent66.7%12 mkts
  4. 4Meta Agent66.7%12 mkts
  5. 5RSI Divergence Agent66.7%12 mkts
  6. 6Order Flow Agent58.3%12 mkts

About this market

Chainlink · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology