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PROBORA

Market record

LINK Up or Down · 5 Min

06:00 → 06:05 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled06:00 → 06:05 UTC

Market ID link-5m-20261115-0600

Settled

Nov 15, 06:05:00 UTC

Price to beat

$9.108
Index at 06:00:00

Final index

$9.072

Settlement price

$9.072
Index at 06:05:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
9.0739.0869.09806:0006:0106:0206:0306:05PTB 9.108

Settlement $9.072

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsWIN
DOWN53.9%Medium
UP 46.1%53.9% DOWN
Historical accuracy
60.0%
15 markets
Model version
meta-link5-v1
published 06:00:12 UTC

Base consensus

6 / 9 DOWN

66.7% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 06:00:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN59.3%
UP 40.7%59.3% DOWN
Medium60.0%15 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentDOWN52.0%
UP 48.0%52.0% DOWN
Medium66.7%15 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN50.5%
UP 49.5%50.5% DOWN
Medium66.7%15 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN53.3%
UP 46.7%53.3% DOWN
Medium60.0%15 marketsWIN
Order Flow AgentDOWN51.3%
UP 48.7%51.3% DOWN
Low60.0%15 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentUP54.6%
UP 54.6%45.4% DOWN
Medium40.0%15 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low40.0%15 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentUP50.2%
UP 50.2%49.8% DOWN
Low40.0%15 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentDOWN51.7%
UP 48.3%51.7% DOWN
Low40.0%15 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for LINK: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 06:00:00 UTC

06:00:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−2.7 bps9.105ok
  • Coinbase+0.3 bps9.108ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps9.108ok
Median of 3 sources$9.108

Settlement · 06:05:00 UTC

06:05:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+6.1 bps9.077ok
  • Coinbase−2.9 bps9.069ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps9.072ok
Median of 3 sources$9.072

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min LINK windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
05:55 → 06:00Nov 159.1229.108DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN57.2%WIN
05:50 → 05:55Nov 159.1299.122DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.8%WIN
05:45 → 05:50Nov 159.1379.129DOWN5 / 9 UPDOWN59.2%WIN
05:40 → 05:45Nov 159.1329.137UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN59.9%LOSS
05:35 → 05:40Nov 159.1269.132UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.4%LOSS
05:30 → 05:35Nov 159.1409.126DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.7%WIN
05:25 → 05:30Nov 159.1499.140DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.9%WIN
05:20 → 05:25Nov 159.1559.149DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.0%WIN
05:15 → 05:20Nov 159.1369.155UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.6%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on LINK · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · LINK 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Mean Reversion Agent66.7%15 mkts
  2. 2Momentum Agent66.7%15 mkts
  3. 3Trend Agent60.0%15 mkts
  4. 4RSI Divergence Agent60.0%15 mkts
  5. 5Order Flow Agent60.0%15 mkts
  6. 6Meta Agent60.0%15 mkts

About this market

Chainlink · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology