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PROBORA

Market record

LINK Up or Down · 5 Min

06:05 → 06:10 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.

This window was cancelled (VOID)Offline at settlement

The network was not ingesting prices at the settlement instant. Markets are never settled late from historical data. The predictions below stay on the record as VOID: they are excluded from accuracy, calibration and learning.

Void06:05 → 06:10 UTC

Market ID link-5m-20261115-0605

Settled

Nov 15, 06:10:00 UTC

Price to beat

$9.072
Index at 06:05:00

Final index

—

Settlement price

—
Index at 06:10:00

Outcome

VOID
Immutable record
9.0789.0869.09306:0506:0606:0706:0806:10PTB 9.072
Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsVOID
UP56.1%Medium
UP 56.1%43.9% DOWN
Historical accuracy
64.7%
17 markets
Model version
meta-link5-v1
published 06:05:04 UTC

Base consensus

6 / 9 UP

66.7% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 06:05:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN52.5%
UP 47.5%52.5% DOWN
Medium64.7%17 marketsVOID
Momentum AgentUP56.4%
UP 56.4%43.6% DOWN
Medium70.6%17 marketsVOID
Mean Reversion AgentUP54.1%
UP 54.1%45.9% DOWN
Medium70.6%17 marketsVOID
RSI Divergence AgentUP50.2%
UP 50.2%49.8% DOWN
Medium64.7%17 marketsVOID
Order Flow AgentDOWN50.7%
UP 49.3%50.7% DOWN
Low52.9%17 marketsVOID
Volatility AgentUP59.2%
UP 59.2%40.8% DOWN
Medium47.1%17 marketsVOID
Liquidation AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low35.3%17 marketsVOID
OI/Funding AgentUP50.2%
UP 50.2%49.8% DOWN
Low35.3%17 marketsVOID
Whale Flow AgentDOWN52.0%
UP 48.0%52.0% DOWN
Low35.3%17 marketsVOID

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for LINK: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 06:05:00 UTC

06:05:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+6.1 bps9.077ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps9.072ok
  • Coinbase−2.9 bps9.069ok
Median of 3 sources$9.072

Settlement · 06:10:00 UTC

Available at settlement.

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min LINK windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
06:00 → 06:05Nov 159.1089.072DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.9%WIN
05:55 → 06:00Nov 159.1229.108DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN57.2%WIN
05:50 → 05:55Nov 159.1299.122DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.8%WIN
05:45 → 05:50Nov 159.1379.129DOWN5 / 9 UPDOWN59.2%WIN
05:40 → 05:45Nov 159.1329.137UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN59.9%LOSS
05:35 → 05:40Nov 159.1269.132UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.4%LOSS
05:30 → 05:35Nov 159.1409.126DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.7%WIN
05:25 → 05:30Nov 159.1499.140DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.9%WIN
05:20 → 05:25Nov 159.1559.149DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.0%WIN
05:15 → 05:20Nov 159.1369.155UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.6%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on LINK · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · LINK 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Momentum Agent70.6%17 mkts
  2. 2Mean Reversion Agent70.6%17 mkts
  3. 3Meta Agent64.7%17 mkts
  4. 4Trend Agent64.7%17 mkts
  5. 5RSI Divergence Agent64.7%17 mkts
  6. 6Order Flow Agent52.9%17 mkts

About this market

Chainlink · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology