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PROBORA

Market record

NEAR Up or Down · 5 Min

10:05 → 10:10 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled10:05 → 10:10 UTC

Market ID near-5m-20261115-1005

Settled

Nov 15, 10:10:00 UTC

Price to beat

$3.171
Index at 10:05:00

Final index

$3.183

Settlement price

$3.183
Index at 10:10:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
3.1693.1733.1783.18210:0510:0610:0710:0810:10PTB 3.171

Settlement $3.183

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsWIN
UP50.5%Low
UP 50.5%49.5% DOWN
Historical accuracy
47.8%
90 markets
Model version
meta-near5-v1
published 10:05:04 UTC

Base consensus

6 / 9 UP

66.7% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 10:05:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentUP53.1%
UP 53.1%46.9% DOWN
Medium41.1%90 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentUP52.1%
UP 52.1%47.9% DOWN
Medium54.4%90 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentUP54.3%
UP 54.3%45.7% DOWN
Medium36.7%90 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN50.1%
UP 49.9%50.1% DOWN
Medium54.4%90 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentUP51.3%
UP 51.3%48.7% DOWN
Low51.1%90 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentDOWN51.8%
UP 48.2%51.8% DOWN
Medium48.9%90 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low44.4%90 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.2%
UP 49.8%50.2% DOWN
Low51.1%90 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentUP50.3%
UP 50.3%49.7% DOWN
Low51.1%90 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for NEAR: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 10:05:00 UTC

10:05:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−1.6 bps3.170ok
  • Coinbase+6.8 bps3.173ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps3.171ok
Median of 3 sources$3.171

Settlement · 10:10:00 UTC

10:10:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+0.8 bps3.183ok
  • Coinbase——error
  • OKXUSDT→USD−0.8 bps3.183ok
Median of 2 sources$3.183

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min NEAR windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
10:00 → 10:05Nov 153.1553.171UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN55.1%LOSS
09:55 → 10:00Nov 153.1653.155DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN56.2%WIN
09:50 → 09:55Nov 153.1573.165UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN55.4%LOSS
09:45 → 09:50Nov 153.1803.157DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.3%WIN
09:40 → 09:45Nov 153.1653.180UP6 / 9 UPDOWN50.7%LOSS
09:35 → 09:40Nov 153.1543.165UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.3%LOSS
09:30 → 09:35Nov 153.1713.154DOWN5 / 9 DOWNUP50.8%LOSS
09:25 → 09:30Nov 15——VOID—Insufficient Data
09:20 → 09:25Nov 153.1833.169DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN50.5%WIN
09:15 → 09:20Nov 153.1883.183DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.4%WIN
09:10 → 09:15Nov 153.1853.188UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.2%LOSS
09:05 → 09:10Nov 153.1853.185FLAT5 / 9 DOWNUP52.0%PUSH

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on NEAR · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · NEAR 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Momentum Agent54.4%90 mkts
  2. 2RSI Divergence Agent54.4%90 mkts
  3. 3Order Flow Agent51.1%90 mkts
  4. 4Whale Flow Agent51.1%90 mkts
  5. 5OI/Funding Agent51.1%90 mkts
  6. 6Volatility Agent48.9%90 mkts

About this market

NEAR Protocol · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology