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PROBORA

Market record

XRP Up or Down · 5 Min

07:15 → 07:20 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled07:15 → 07:20 UTC

Market ID xrp-5m-20261115-0715

Settled

Nov 15, 07:20:00 UTC

Price to beat

$0.9546
Index at 07:15:00

Final index

$0.9563

Settlement price

$0.9563
Index at 07:20:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
0.95390.95520.95660.957907:1507:1607:1707:1807:20PTB 0.9546

Settlement $0.9563

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
DOWN68.8%High
UP 31.2%68.8% DOWN
Historical accuracy
51.5%
97 markets
Model version
meta-xrp5-v1
published 07:15:06 UTC

Base consensus

9 / 9 DOWN

100.0% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 07:15:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN60.3%
UP 39.7%60.3% DOWN
Medium49.5%97 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentDOWN62.7%
UP 37.3%62.7% DOWN
Medium52.6%97 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN57.9%
UP 42.1%57.9% DOWN
Medium48.5%97 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN56.9%
UP 43.1%56.9% DOWN
Medium50.5%97 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentDOWN50.3%
UP 49.7%50.3% DOWN
Low46.4%97 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentDOWN56.2%
UP 43.8%56.2% DOWN
Medium52.6%97 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentDOWN50.1%
UP 49.9%50.1% DOWN
Low54.6%97 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low43.3%97 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentDOWN51.0%
UP 49.0%51.0% DOWN
Low46.4%97 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for XRP: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 07:15:00 UTC

07:15:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.9546ok
  • Coinbase+0.3 bps0.9546ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−0.5 bps0.9545ok
Median of 3 sources$0.9546

Settlement · 07:20:00 UTC

07:20:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−1.3 bps0.9562ok
  • Coinbase0.0 bps0.9563ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD+1.3 bps0.9564ok
Median of 3 sources$0.9563

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min XRP windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
07:10 → 07:15Nov 150.95700.9546DOWN5 / 9 UPDOWN54.9%WIN
07:05 → 07:10Nov 150.95520.9570UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.2%LOSS
07:00 → 07:05Nov 150.95830.9552DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN63.6%WIN
06:55 → 07:00Nov 150.95840.9583DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN71.2%WIN
06:50 → 06:55Nov 150.96380.9584DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.5%WIN
06:45 → 06:50Nov 150.96290.9638UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN58.2%LOSS
06:40 → 06:45Nov 150.96050.9629UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN57.4%LOSS
06:35 → 06:40Nov 150.95850.9605UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN69.8%LOSS
06:30 → 06:35Nov 150.95940.9585DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN65.9%WIN
06:25 → 06:30Nov 150.95630.9594UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.7%LOSS
06:20 → 06:25Nov 150.95720.9563DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.7%WIN
06:15 → 06:20Nov 150.95210.9572UP9 / 9 DOWNDOWN76.4%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on XRP · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · XRP 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Liquidation Agent54.6%97 mkts
  2. 2Volatility Agent52.6%97 mkts
  3. 3Momentum Agent52.6%97 mkts
  4. 4Order Flow Agent46.4%97 mkts
  5. 5Whale Flow Agent46.4%97 mkts
  6. 6RSI Divergence Agent50.5%97 mkts

About this market

XRP · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology