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PROBORA

Market record

XRP Up or Down · 5 Min

07:20 → 07:25 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled07:20 → 07:25 UTC

Market ID xrp-5m-20261115-0720

Settled

Nov 15, 07:25:00 UTC

Price to beat

$0.9563
Index at 07:20:00

Final index

$0.9556

Settlement price

$0.9556
Index at 07:25:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
0.95500.95560.956907:2007:2107:2207:2307:25PTB 0.9563

Settlement $0.9556

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsWIN
DOWN66.6%High
UP 33.4%66.6% DOWN
Historical accuracy
51.5%
99 markets
Model version
meta-xrp5-v1
published 07:20:04 UTC

Base consensus

8 / 9 DOWN

88.9% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 07:20:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN55.3%
UP 44.7%55.3% DOWN
Medium49.5%99 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentDOWN58.4%
UP 41.6%58.4% DOWN
Medium52.5%99 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN57.4%
UP 42.6%57.4% DOWN
Medium48.5%99 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN58.5%
UP 41.5%58.5% DOWN
Medium50.5%99 marketsWIN
Order Flow AgentDOWN51.7%
UP 48.3%51.7% DOWN
Low47.5%99 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentDOWN55.9%
UP 44.1%55.9% DOWN
Medium52.5%99 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentDOWN52.2%
UP 47.8%52.2% DOWN
Low54.5%99 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low43.4%99 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentDOWN51.7%
UP 48.3%51.7% DOWN
Low47.5%99 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for XRP: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 07:20:00 UTC

07:20:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−1.3 bps0.9562ok
  • Coinbase0.0 bps0.9563ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD+1.3 bps0.9564ok
Median of 3 sources$0.9563

Settlement · 07:25:00 UTC

07:25:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.9556ok
  • Coinbase+0.5 bps0.9557ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−0.5 bps0.9556ok
Median of 3 sources$0.9556

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min XRP windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
07:15 → 07:20Nov 150.95460.9563UP9 / 9 DOWNDOWN68.8%LOSS
07:10 → 07:15Nov 150.95700.9546DOWN5 / 9 UPDOWN54.9%WIN
07:05 → 07:10Nov 150.95520.9570UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.2%LOSS
07:00 → 07:05Nov 150.95830.9552DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN63.6%WIN
06:55 → 07:00Nov 150.95840.9583DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN71.2%WIN
06:50 → 06:55Nov 150.96380.9584DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.5%WIN
06:45 → 06:50Nov 150.96290.9638UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN58.2%LOSS
06:40 → 06:45Nov 150.96050.9629UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN57.4%LOSS
06:35 → 06:40Nov 150.95850.9605UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN69.8%LOSS
06:30 → 06:35Nov 150.95940.9585DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN65.9%WIN
06:25 → 06:30Nov 150.95630.9594UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.7%LOSS
06:20 → 06:25Nov 150.95720.9563DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.7%WIN

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on XRP · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · XRP 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Liquidation Agent54.5%99 mkts
  2. 2Volatility Agent52.5%99 mkts
  3. 3Momentum Agent52.5%99 mkts
  4. 4Order Flow Agent47.5%99 mkts
  5. 5Whale Flow Agent47.5%99 mkts
  6. 6Mean Reversion Agent48.5%99 mkts

About this market

XRP · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology