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PROBORA

Market record

ZEC Up or Down · 5 Min

05:50 → 05:55 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled05:50 → 05:55 UTC

Market ID zec-5m-20261115-0550

Settled

Nov 15, 05:55:00 UTC

Price to beat

$901.35
Index at 05:50:00

Final index

$898.92

Settlement price

$898.92
Index at 05:55:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
898.95899.91900.86901.8205:5005:5105:5205:5305:55PTB 901.35

Settlement $898.92

UP50.9%Low
UP 50.9%49.1% DOWN
Historical accuracy
41.7%
12 markets
Model version
meta-zec5-v1
published 05:50:04 UTC

Base consensus

5 / 9 DOWN

55.6% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 05:50:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN50.4%
UP 49.6%50.4% DOWN
Medium50.0%12 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentDOWN51.4%
UP 48.6%51.4% DOWN
Medium41.7%12 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentUP52.8%
UP 52.8%47.2% DOWN
Medium25.0%12 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN51.7%
UP 48.3%51.7% DOWN
Medium66.7%12 marketsWIN
Order Flow AgentUP50.1%
UP 50.1%49.9% DOWN
Low58.3%12 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentDOWN54.6%
UP 45.4%54.6% DOWN
Medium58.3%12 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentDOWN52.2%
UP 47.8%52.2% DOWN
Low50.0%12 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low58.3%12 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentUP51.6%
UP 51.6%48.4% DOWN
Low58.3%12 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for ZEC: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 05:50:00 UTC

05:50:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps901.35ok
  • Coinbase+1.6 bps901.49ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−0.4 bps901.31ok
Median of 3 sources$901.35

Settlement · 05:55:00 UTC

05:55:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+0.8 bps898.99ok
  • Coinbase——error
  • OKXUSDT→USD−0.8 bps898.85ok
Median of 2 sources$898.92

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min ZEC windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
05:45 → 05:50Nov 15903.95901.35DOWN6 / 9 DOWNUP50.3%LOSS
05:40 → 05:45Nov 15904.44903.95DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.5%WIN
05:35 → 05:40Nov 15903.24904.44UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN58.0%LOSS
05:30 → 05:35Nov 15904.23903.24DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN50.1%WIN
05:25 → 05:30Nov 15909.38904.23DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.8%WIN
05:20 → 05:25Nov 15910.61909.38DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN57.4%WIN
05:15 → 05:20Nov 15907.99910.61UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.6%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on ZEC · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · ZEC 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1RSI Divergence Agent66.7%12 mkts
  2. 2Whale Flow Agent58.3%12 mkts
  3. 3Order Flow Agent58.3%12 mkts
  4. 4OI/Funding Agent58.3%12 mkts
  5. 5Liquidation Agent50.0%12 mkts
  6. 6Volatility Agent58.3%12 mkts

About this market

Zcash · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology