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PROBORA

Market record

ZEC Up or Down · 5 Min

05:55 → 06:00 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled05:55 → 06:00 UTC

Market ID zec-5m-20261115-0555

Settled

Nov 15, 06:00:00 UTC

Price to beat

$898.92
Index at 05:55:00

Final index

$896.27

Settlement price

$896.27
Index at 06:00:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
896.29897.35898.40899.4605:5505:5605:5705:5806:00PTB 898.92

Settlement $896.27

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
UP53.9%Medium
UP 53.9%46.1% DOWN
Historical accuracy
42.9%
14 markets
Model version
meta-zec5-v1
published 05:55:08 UTC

Base consensus

5 / 9 UP

55.6% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 05:55:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentUP53.2%
UP 53.2%46.8% DOWN
Medium42.9%14 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentUP53.3%
UP 53.3%46.7% DOWN
Medium35.7%14 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentUP53.8%
UP 53.8%46.2% DOWN
Medium28.6%14 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentUP57.4%
UP 57.4%42.6% DOWN
Medium64.3%14 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentDOWN51.9%
UP 48.1%51.9% DOWN
Low64.3%14 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentDOWN52.7%
UP 47.3%52.7% DOWN
Medium57.1%14 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentDOWN52.2%
UP 47.8%52.2% DOWN
Low50.0%14 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low57.1%14 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentDOWN51.7%
UP 48.3%51.7% DOWN
Low64.3%14 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for ZEC: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 05:55:00 UTC

05:55:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+0.8 bps898.99ok
  • Coinbase——error
  • OKXUSDT→USD−0.8 bps898.85ok
Median of 2 sources$898.92

Settlement · 06:00:00 UTC

06:00:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps896.27ok
  • Coinbase+2.6 bps896.51ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−0.3 bps896.25ok
Median of 3 sources$896.27

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min ZEC windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
05:50 → 05:55Nov 15901.35898.92DOWN5 / 9 DOWNUP50.9%LOSS
05:45 → 05:50Nov 15903.95901.35DOWN6 / 9 DOWNUP50.3%LOSS
05:40 → 05:45Nov 15904.44903.95DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.5%WIN
05:35 → 05:40Nov 15903.24904.44UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN58.0%LOSS
05:30 → 05:35Nov 15904.23903.24DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN50.1%WIN
05:25 → 05:30Nov 15909.38904.23DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.8%WIN
05:20 → 05:25Nov 15910.61909.38DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN57.4%WIN
05:15 → 05:20Nov 15907.99910.61UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.6%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on ZEC · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · ZEC 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Whale Flow Agent64.3%14 mkts
  2. 2RSI Divergence Agent64.3%14 mkts
  3. 3Order Flow Agent64.3%14 mkts
  4. 4OI/Funding Agent57.1%14 mkts
  5. 5Liquidation Agent50.0%14 mkts
  6. 6Volatility Agent57.1%14 mkts

About this market

Zcash · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology