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PROBORA

Market record

ZEC Up or Down · 5 Min

06:00 → 06:05 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled06:00 → 06:05 UTC

Market ID zec-5m-20261115-0600

Settled

Nov 15, 06:05:00 UTC

Price to beat

$896.27
Index at 06:00:00

Final index

$890.39

Settlement price

$890.39
Index at 06:05:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
889.44891.86894.2706:0006:0106:0206:0306:05PTB 896.27

Settlement $890.39

UP57.7%Medium
UP 57.7%42.3% DOWN
Historical accuracy
50.0%
16 markets
Model version
meta-zec5-v1
published 06:00:12 UTC

Base consensus

5 / 9 DOWN

55.6% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 06:00:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentUP53.0%
UP 53.0%47.0% DOWN
Medium50.0%16 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentUP53.8%
UP 53.8%46.2% DOWN
Medium43.8%16 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentUP55.3%
UP 55.3%44.7% DOWN
Medium37.5%16 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN63.3%
UP 36.7%63.3% DOWN
Medium68.8%16 marketsWIN
Order Flow AgentDOWN51.2%
UP 48.8%51.2% DOWN
Low62.5%16 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentUP56.1%
UP 56.1%43.9% DOWN
Medium56.3%16 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentDOWN52.2%
UP 47.8%52.2% DOWN
Low50.0%16 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.2%
UP 49.8%50.2% DOWN
Low50.0%16 marketsWIN
Whale Flow AgentDOWN51.6%
UP 48.4%51.6% DOWN
Low62.5%16 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for ZEC: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 06:00:00 UTC

06:00:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps896.27ok
  • Coinbase+2.6 bps896.51ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−0.3 bps896.25ok
Median of 3 sources$896.27

Settlement · 06:05:00 UTC

06:05:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps890.39ok
  • Coinbase−2.6 bps890.16ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD+0.5 bps890.43ok
Median of 3 sources$890.39

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min ZEC windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
05:55 → 06:00Nov 15898.92896.27DOWN5 / 9 UPUP53.9%LOSS
05:50 → 05:55Nov 15901.35898.92DOWN5 / 9 DOWNUP50.9%LOSS
05:45 → 05:50Nov 15903.95901.35DOWN6 / 9 DOWNUP50.3%LOSS
05:40 → 05:45Nov 15904.44903.95DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.5%WIN
05:35 → 05:40Nov 15903.24904.44UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN58.0%LOSS
05:30 → 05:35Nov 15904.23903.24DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN50.1%WIN
05:25 → 05:30Nov 15909.38904.23DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.8%WIN
05:20 → 05:25Nov 15910.61909.38DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN57.4%WIN
05:15 → 05:20Nov 15907.99910.61UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.6%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on ZEC · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · ZEC 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1RSI Divergence Agent68.8%16 mkts
  2. 2Whale Flow Agent62.5%16 mkts
  3. 3Order Flow Agent62.5%16 mkts
  4. 4Liquidation Agent50.0%16 mkts
  5. 5OI/Funding Agent50.0%16 mkts
  6. 6Trend Agent50.0%16 mkts

About this market

Zcash · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology