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PROBORA

Market record

ZEC Up or Down · 5 Min

08:55 → 09:00 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled08:55 → 09:00 UTC

Market ID zec-5m-20261115-0855

Settled

Nov 15, 09:00:00 UTC

Price to beat

$894.48
Index at 08:55:00

Final index

$899.79

Settlement price

$899.79
Index at 09:00:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
896.03897.81899.5908:5508:5608:5708:5809:00PTB 894.48

Settlement $899.79

DOWN51.9%Medium
UP 48.1%51.9% DOWN
Historical accuracy
52.0%
75 markets
Model version
meta-zec5-v1
published 08:55:04 UTC

Base consensus

6 / 9 DOWN

66.7% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 08:55:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN53.0%
UP 47.0%53.0% DOWN
Medium50.7%75 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentUP50.2%
UP 50.2%49.8% DOWN
Medium52.0%75 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN50.7%
UP 49.3%50.7% DOWN
Medium50.7%75 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN54.9%
UP 45.1%54.9% DOWN
Medium56.0%75 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentDOWN50.8%
UP 49.2%50.8% DOWN
Low48.0%75 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentDOWN50.5%
UP 49.5%50.5% DOWN
Medium49.3%75 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentUP51.9%
UP 51.9%48.1% DOWN
Low45.3%75 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.3%
UP 49.7%50.3% DOWN
Low50.7%75 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentUP50.4%
UP 50.4%49.6% DOWN
Low52.0%75 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for ZEC: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 08:55:00 UTC

08:55:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−2.4 bps894.27ok
  • Coinbase0.0 bps894.48ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD+2.6 bps894.71ok
Median of 3 sources$894.48

Settlement · 09:00:00 UTC

09:00:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+0.9 bps899.87ok
  • Coinbase−3.5 bps899.47ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps899.79ok
Median of 3 sources$899.79

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min ZEC windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
08:50 → 08:55Nov 15892.56894.48UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.3%LOSS
08:45 → 08:50Nov 15893.52892.56DOWN5 / 9 DOWNUP51.2%LOSS
08:40 → 08:45Nov 15890.86893.52UP5 / 9 UPUP52.7%WIN
08:35 → 08:40Nov 15894.06890.86DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN50.4%WIN
08:30 → 08:35Nov 15895.48894.06DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN55.8%WIN
08:25 → 08:30Nov 15891.04895.48UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN55.4%LOSS
08:20 → 08:25Nov 15888.50891.04UP5 / 9 DOWNUP54.9%WIN
08:15 → 08:20Nov 15889.10888.50DOWN5 / 9 UPUP56.2%LOSS
08:10 → 08:15Nov 15893.27889.10DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN56.5%WIN
08:05 → 08:10Nov 15893.73893.27DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN57.0%WIN
08:00 → 08:05Nov 15893.25893.73UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.5%LOSS
07:55 → 08:00Nov 15891.89893.25UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.3%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on ZEC · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · ZEC 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Whale Flow Agent52.0%75 mkts
  2. 2OI/Funding Agent50.7%75 mkts
  3. 3Trend Agent50.7%75 mkts
  4. 4Meta Agent52.0%75 mkts
  5. 5Momentum Agent52.0%75 mkts
  6. 6Order Flow Agent48.0%75 mkts

About this market

Zcash · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology