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PROBORA

Market record

ZEC Up or Down · 5 Min

09:10 → 09:15 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled09:10 → 09:15 UTC

Market ID zec-5m-20261115-0910

Settled

Nov 15, 09:15:00 UTC

Price to beat

$916.19
Index at 09:10:00

Final index

$916.10

Settlement price

$916.10
Index at 09:15:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
915.30918.15921.01923.8609:1009:1109:1209:1309:15PTB 916.19

Settlement $916.10

DOWN73.1%High
UP 26.9%73.1% DOWN
Historical accuracy
53.2%
79 markets
Model version
meta-zec5-v1
published 09:10:04 UTC

Base consensus

6 / 9 DOWN

66.7% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 09:10:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN58.9%
UP 41.1%58.9% DOWN
Medium51.9%79 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentDOWN59.7%
UP 40.3%59.7% DOWN
Medium53.2%79 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN65.2%
UP 34.8%65.2% DOWN
Medium53.2%79 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN59.4%
UP 40.6%59.4% DOWN
Medium57.0%79 marketsWIN
Order Flow AgentUP50.8%
UP 50.8%49.2% DOWN
Low46.8%79 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentDOWN56.0%
UP 44.0%56.0% DOWN
Medium49.4%79 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentUP52.2%
UP 52.2%47.8% DOWN
Low45.6%79 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentUP50.1%
UP 50.1%49.9% DOWN
Low50.6%79 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentDOWN51.2%
UP 48.8%51.2% DOWN
Low50.6%79 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for ZEC: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 09:10:00 UTC

09:10:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−2.5 bps915.96ok
  • Coinbase0.0 bps916.19ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD+1.2 bps916.30ok
Median of 3 sources$916.19

Settlement · 09:15:00 UTC

09:15:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−3.2 bps915.80ok
  • Coinbase+2.3 bps916.31ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps916.10ok
Median of 3 sources$916.10

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min ZEC windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
09:05 → 09:10Nov 15914.08916.19UP5 / 9 UPDOWN74.6%LOSS
09:00 → 09:05Nov 15899.79914.08UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN63.5%LOSS
08:55 → 09:00Nov 15894.48899.79UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.9%LOSS
08:50 → 08:55Nov 15892.56894.48UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.3%LOSS
08:45 → 08:50Nov 15893.52892.56DOWN5 / 9 DOWNUP51.2%LOSS
08:40 → 08:45Nov 15890.86893.52UP5 / 9 UPUP52.7%WIN
08:35 → 08:40Nov 15894.06890.86DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN50.4%WIN
08:30 → 08:35Nov 15895.48894.06DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN55.8%WIN
08:25 → 08:30Nov 15891.04895.48UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN55.4%LOSS
08:20 → 08:25Nov 15888.50891.04UP5 / 9 DOWNUP54.9%WIN
08:15 → 08:20Nov 15889.10888.50DOWN5 / 9 UPUP56.2%LOSS
08:10 → 08:15Nov 15893.27889.10DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN56.5%WIN

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on ZEC · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · ZEC 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Trend Agent51.9%79 mkts
  2. 2OI/Funding Agent50.6%79 mkts
  3. 3Whale Flow Agent50.6%79 mkts
  4. 4Meta Agent53.2%79 mkts
  5. 5RSI Divergence Agent57.0%79 mkts
  6. 6Momentum Agent53.2%79 mkts

About this market

Zcash · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology