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PROBORA

Market record

ZEC Up or Down · 5 Min

10:55 → 11:00 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled10:55 → 11:00 UTC

Market ID zec-5m-20261115-1055

Settled

Nov 15, 11:00:00 UTC

Price to beat

$919.67
Index at 10:55:00

Final index

$919.20

Settlement price

$919.20
Index at 11:00:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
917.45918.16918.8810:5510:5610:5710:5811:00PTB 919.67

Settlement $919.20

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsWIN
DOWN66.8%High
UP 33.2%66.8% DOWN
Historical accuracy
54.9%
113 markets
Model version
meta-zec5-v1
published 10:55:04 UTC

Base consensus

7 / 9 DOWN

77.8% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 10:55:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN56.7%
UP 43.3%56.7% DOWN
Medium55.8%113 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentDOWN63.3%
UP 36.7%63.3% DOWN
Medium54.9%113 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN60.0%
UP 40.0%60.0% DOWN
Medium54.9%113 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentUP58.3%
UP 58.3%41.7% DOWN
Medium59.3%113 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentDOWN50.1%
UP 49.9%50.1% DOWN
Low46.0%113 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentDOWN53.9%
UP 46.1%53.9% DOWN
Medium51.3%113 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentDOWN52.1%
UP 47.9%52.1% DOWN
Low45.1%113 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentUP50.2%
UP 50.2%49.8% DOWN
Low47.8%113 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentDOWN50.1%
UP 49.9%50.1% DOWN
Low47.8%113 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for ZEC: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 10:55:00 UTC

10:55:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+0.2 bps919.69ok
  • Coinbase0.0 bps919.67ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−0.4 bps919.63ok
Median of 3 sources$919.67

Settlement · 11:00:00 UTC

11:00:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps919.20ok
  • Coinbase+5.5 bps919.70ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−1.5 bps919.06ok
Median of 3 sources$919.20

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min ZEC windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
10:50 → 10:55Nov 15914.32919.67UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN57.2%LOSS
10:45 → 10:50Nov 15915.05914.32DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN63.0%WIN
10:40 → 10:45Nov 15912.28915.05UP9 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.6%LOSS
10:35 → 10:40Nov 15908.23912.28UP6 / 9 UPUP51.2%WIN
10:30 → 10:35Nov 15908.38908.23DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.5%WIN
10:25 → 10:30Nov 15908.41908.38DOWN6 / 9 UPUP55.5%LOSS
10:20 → 10:25Nov 15910.72908.41DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.8%WIN
10:15 → 10:20Nov 15914.04910.72DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.7%WIN
10:10 → 10:15Nov 15914.13914.04DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN62.8%WIN
10:05 → 10:10Nov 15911.27914.13UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.5%LOSS
10:00 → 10:05Nov 15907.04911.27UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN50.4%LOSS
09:55 → 10:00Nov 15910.52907.04DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN55.9%WIN

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on ZEC · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · ZEC 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Mean Reversion Agent54.9%113 mkts
  2. 2Trend Agent55.8%113 mkts
  3. 3Meta Agent54.9%113 mkts
  4. 4RSI Divergence Agent59.3%113 mkts
  5. 5Momentum Agent54.9%113 mkts
  6. 6Volatility Agent51.3%113 mkts

About this market

Zcash · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology