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PROBORA

Market record

ZEC Up or Down · 5 Min

12:30 → 12:35 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled12:30 → 12:35 UTC

Market ID zec-5m-20261115-1230

Settled

Nov 15, 12:35:00 UTC

Price to beat

$919.90
Index at 12:30:00

Final index

$922.76

Settlement price

$922.76
Index at 12:35:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
919.08920.48921.89923.2912:3012:3112:3212:3312:35PTB 919.90

Settlement $922.76

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
DOWN54.7%High
UP 45.3%54.7% DOWN
Historical accuracy
56.5%
147 markets
Model version
meta-zec5-v1
published 12:30:08 UTC

Base consensus

8 / 9 DOWN

88.9% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 12:30:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN54.0%
UP 46.0%54.0% DOWN
Medium57.8%147 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentDOWN55.3%
UP 44.7%55.3% DOWN
Medium57.1%147 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN51.6%
UP 48.4%51.6% DOWN
Medium55.1%147 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN57.5%
UP 42.5%57.5% DOWN
Medium58.5%147 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentUP50.3%
UP 50.3%49.7% DOWN
Low46.3%147 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentDOWN51.1%
UP 48.9%51.1% DOWN
Medium51.0%147 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentDOWN52.2%
UP 47.8%52.2% DOWN
Low45.6%147 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.1%
UP 49.9%50.1% DOWN
Low49.0%147 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentDOWN50.1%
UP 49.9%50.1% DOWN
Low50.3%147 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for ZEC: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 12:30:00 UTC

12:30:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps919.90ok
  • Coinbase+6.9 bps920.53ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−0.4 bps919.86ok
Median of 3 sources$919.90

Settlement · 12:35:00 UTC

12:35:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps922.76ok
  • Coinbase+5.9 bps923.30ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps922.76ok
Median of 3 sources$922.76

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min ZEC windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
12:25 → 12:30Nov 15921.45919.90DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.2%WIN
12:20 → 12:25Nov 15920.90921.45UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN59.9%LOSS
12:15 → 12:20Nov 15917.33920.90UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN50.7%LOSS
12:10 → 12:15Nov 15918.10917.33DOWN6 / 9 DOWNUP51.8%LOSS
12:05 → 12:10Nov 15917.71918.10UP5 / 9 UPUP53.6%WIN
12:00 → 12:05Nov 15918.44917.71DOWN6 / 9 UPUP51.9%LOSS
11:55 → 12:00Nov 15922.14918.44DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.3%WIN
11:50 → 11:55Nov 15921.26922.14UP8 / 9 UPUP53.8%WIN
11:45 → 11:50Nov 15922.38921.26DOWN5 / 9 UPDOWN52.3%WIN
11:40 → 11:45Nov 15923.29922.38DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.8%WIN
11:35 → 11:40Nov 15921.85923.29UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.7%LOSS
11:30 → 11:35Nov 15919.89921.85UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN56.9%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on ZEC · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · ZEC 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Meta Agent56.5%147 mkts
  2. 2Mean Reversion Agent55.1%147 mkts
  3. 3Trend Agent57.8%147 mkts
  4. 4Momentum Agent57.1%147 mkts
  5. 5RSI Divergence Agent58.5%147 mkts
  6. 6Whale Flow Agent50.3%147 mkts

About this market

Zcash · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology