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PROBORA

Market record

ZEC Up or Down · 5 Min

12:10 → 12:15 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled12:10 → 12:15 UTC

Market ID zec-5m-20261115-1210

Settled

Nov 15, 12:15:00 UTC

Price to beat

$918.10
Index at 12:10:00

Final index

$917.33

Settlement price

$917.33
Index at 12:15:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
916.77917.72918.67919.6212:1012:1112:1212:1312:15PTB 918.10

Settlement $917.33

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
UP51.8%Low
UP 51.8%48.2% DOWN
Historical accuracy
54.7%
139 markets
Model version
meta-zec5-v1
published 12:10:04 UTC

Base consensus

6 / 9 DOWN

66.7% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 12:10:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Medium56.8%139 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentDOWN54.6%
UP 45.4%54.6% DOWN
Medium56.8%139 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentUP52.4%
UP 52.4%47.6% DOWN
Medium54.0%139 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentUP52.9%
UP 52.9%47.1% DOWN
Medium57.6%139 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentDOWN50.3%
UP 49.7%50.3% DOWN
Low46.8%139 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentDOWN51.4%
UP 48.6%51.4% DOWN
Medium51.8%139 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentDOWN52.2%
UP 47.8%52.2% DOWN
Low46.8%139 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.2%
UP 49.8%50.2% DOWN
Low48.2%139 marketsWIN
Whale Flow AgentUP52.2%
UP 52.2%47.8% DOWN
Low50.4%139 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for ZEC: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 12:10:00 UTC

12:10:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−3.2 bps917.80ok
  • Coinbase+4.2 bps918.48ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps918.10ok
Median of 3 sources$918.10

Settlement · 12:15:00 UTC

12:15:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−2.0 bps917.14ok
  • Coinbase+7.3 bps918.00ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps917.33ok
Median of 3 sources$917.33

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min ZEC windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
12:05 → 12:10Nov 15917.71918.10UP5 / 9 UPUP53.6%WIN
12:00 → 12:05Nov 15918.44917.71DOWN6 / 9 UPUP51.9%LOSS
11:55 → 12:00Nov 15922.14918.44DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.3%WIN
11:50 → 11:55Nov 15921.26922.14UP8 / 9 UPUP53.8%WIN
11:45 → 11:50Nov 15922.38921.26DOWN5 / 9 UPDOWN52.3%WIN
11:40 → 11:45Nov 15923.29922.38DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.8%WIN
11:35 → 11:40Nov 15921.85923.29UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.7%LOSS
11:30 → 11:35Nov 15919.89921.85UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN56.9%LOSS
11:25 → 11:30Nov 15918.99919.89UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.0%LOSS
11:20 → 11:25Nov 15920.85918.99DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN56.0%WIN
11:15 → 11:20Nov 15918.02920.85UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.7%LOSS
11:10 → 11:15Nov 15916.20918.02UP7 / 9 UPUP54.2%WIN

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on ZEC · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · ZEC 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Trend Agent56.5%138 mkts
  2. 2Momentum Agent56.5%138 mkts
  3. 3Mean Reversion Agent53.6%138 mkts
  4. 4Meta Agent54.3%138 mkts
  5. 5Volatility Agent52.2%138 mkts
  6. 6Whale Flow Agent50.7%138 mkts

About this market

Zcash · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology