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PROBORA

Market record

ZEC Up or Down · 5 Min

11:55 → 12:00 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled11:55 → 12:00 UTC

Market ID zec-5m-20261115-1155

Settled

Nov 15, 12:00:00 UTC

Price to beat

$922.14
Index at 11:55:00

Final index

$918.44

Settlement price

$918.44
Index at 12:00:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
918.52920.19923.5311:5511:5611:5711:5812:00PTB 922.14

Settlement $918.44

DOWN54.3%Medium
UP 45.7%54.3% DOWN
Historical accuracy
54.5%
134 markets
Model version
meta-zec5-v1
published 11:55:04 UTC

Base consensus

5 / 9 DOWN

55.6% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 11:55:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN53.5%
UP 46.5%53.5% DOWN
Medium56.7%134 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentDOWN52.9%
UP 47.1%52.9% DOWN
Medium56.0%134 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN53.9%
UP 46.1%53.9% DOWN
Medium54.5%134 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN54.1%
UP 45.9%54.1% DOWN
Medium57.5%134 marketsWIN
Order Flow AgentUP52.7%
UP 52.7%47.3% DOWN
Low47.8%134 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentUP50.4%
UP 50.4%49.6% DOWN
Medium51.5%134 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentUP52.2%
UP 52.2%47.8% DOWN
Low46.3%134 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.1%
UP 49.9%50.1% DOWN
Low48.5%134 marketsWIN
Whale Flow AgentUP51.7%
UP 51.7%48.3% DOWN
Low50.7%134 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for ZEC: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 11:55:00 UTC

11:55:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps922.14ok
  • Coinbase+4.0 bps922.51ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−1.7 bps921.98ok
Median of 3 sources$922.14

Settlement · 12:00:00 UTC

12:00:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps918.44ok
  • Coinbase+4.6 bps918.86ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−1.3 bps918.33ok
Median of 3 sources$918.44

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min ZEC windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
11:50 → 11:55Nov 15921.26922.14UP8 / 9 UPUP53.8%WIN
11:45 → 11:50Nov 15922.38921.26DOWN5 / 9 UPDOWN52.3%WIN
11:40 → 11:45Nov 15923.29922.38DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.8%WIN
11:35 → 11:40Nov 15921.85923.29UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.7%LOSS
11:30 → 11:35Nov 15919.89921.85UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN56.9%LOSS
11:25 → 11:30Nov 15918.99919.89UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.0%LOSS
11:20 → 11:25Nov 15920.85918.99DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN56.0%WIN
11:15 → 11:20Nov 15918.02920.85UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.7%LOSS
11:10 → 11:15Nov 15916.20918.02UP7 / 9 UPUP54.2%WIN
11:05 → 11:10Nov 15919.91916.20DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN62.4%WIN
11:00 → 11:05Nov 15——VOID—Insufficient Data
10:55 → 11:00Nov 15919.67919.20DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN66.8%WIN

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on ZEC · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · ZEC 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Mean Reversion Agent54.5%134 mkts
  2. 2Trend Agent56.7%134 mkts
  3. 3Momentum Agent56.0%134 mkts
  4. 4Meta Agent54.5%134 mkts
  5. 5Whale Flow Agent50.7%134 mkts
  6. 6RSI Divergence Agent57.5%134 mkts

About this market

Zcash · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology