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PROBORA

Market record

ZEC Up or Down · 5 Min

11:10 → 11:15 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled11:10 → 11:15 UTC

Market ID zec-5m-20261115-1110

Settled

Nov 15, 11:15:00 UTC

Price to beat

$916.20
Index at 11:10:00

Final index

$918.02

Settlement price

$918.02
Index at 11:15:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
915.81916.76917.72918.6711:1011:1111:1211:1311:15PTB 916.20

Settlement $918.02

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsWIN
UP54.2%Medium
UP 54.2%45.8% DOWN
Historical accuracy
55.6%
117 markets
Model version
meta-zec5-v1
published 11:10:04 UTC

Base consensus

7 / 9 UP

77.8% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 11:10:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentUP51.4%
UP 51.4%48.6% DOWN
Medium57.3%117 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentUP53.7%
UP 53.7%46.3% DOWN
Medium53.8%117 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentUP51.3%
UP 51.3%48.7% DOWN
Medium55.6%117 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentUP54.2%
UP 54.2%45.8% DOWN
Medium59.0%117 marketsWIN
Order Flow AgentUP50.2%
UP 50.2%49.8% DOWN
Low47.0%117 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentUP53.9%
UP 53.9%46.1% DOWN
Medium51.3%117 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentUP52.2%
UP 52.2%47.8% DOWN
Low46.2%117 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.3%
UP 49.7%50.3% DOWN
Low47.9%117 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentDOWN52.3%
UP 47.7%52.3% DOWN
Low47.9%117 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for ZEC: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 11:10:00 UTC

11:10:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−5.1 bps915.73ok
  • Coinbase0.0 bps916.20ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD+4.3 bps916.60ok
Median of 3 sources$916.20

Settlement · 11:15:00 UTC

11:15:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−4.1 bps917.64ok
  • Coinbase0.0 bps918.02ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD+7.8 bps918.73ok
Median of 3 sources$918.02

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min ZEC windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
11:05 → 11:10Nov 15919.91916.20DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN62.4%WIN
11:00 → 11:05Nov 15——VOID—Insufficient Data
10:55 → 11:00Nov 15919.67919.20DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN66.8%WIN
10:50 → 10:55Nov 15914.32919.67UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN57.2%LOSS
10:45 → 10:50Nov 15915.05914.32DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN63.0%WIN
10:40 → 10:45Nov 15912.28915.05UP9 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.6%LOSS
10:35 → 10:40Nov 15908.23912.28UP6 / 9 UPUP51.2%WIN
10:30 → 10:35Nov 15908.38908.23DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.5%WIN
10:25 → 10:30Nov 15908.41908.38DOWN6 / 9 UPUP55.5%LOSS
10:20 → 10:25Nov 15910.72908.41DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.8%WIN
10:15 → 10:20Nov 15914.04910.72DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.7%WIN
10:10 → 10:15Nov 15914.13914.04DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN62.8%WIN

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on ZEC · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · ZEC 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Mean Reversion Agent55.6%117 mkts
  2. 2Meta Agent55.6%117 mkts
  3. 3Trend Agent57.3%117 mkts
  4. 4RSI Divergence Agent59.0%117 mkts
  5. 5Momentum Agent53.8%117 mkts
  6. 6Volatility Agent51.3%117 mkts

About this market

Zcash · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology