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PROBORA

Market record

ZEC Up or Down · 5 Min

11:15 → 11:20 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled11:15 → 11:20 UTC

Market ID zec-5m-20261115-1115

Settled

Nov 15, 11:20:00 UTC

Price to beat

$918.02
Index at 11:15:00

Final index

$920.85

Settlement price

$920.85
Index at 11:20:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
917.29918.95920.60922.2611:1511:1611:1711:1811:20PTB 918.02

Settlement $920.85

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
DOWN52.7%Medium
UP 47.3%52.7% DOWN
Historical accuracy
55.9%
118 markets
Model version
meta-zec5-v1
published 11:15:07 UTC

Base consensus

7 / 9 DOWN

77.8% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 11:15:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN50.8%
UP 49.2%50.8% DOWN
Medium57.6%118 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentDOWN54.4%
UP 45.6%54.4% DOWN
Medium54.2%118 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN50.3%
UP 49.7%50.3% DOWN
Medium55.9%118 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN55.3%
UP 44.7%55.3% DOWN
Medium59.3%118 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentDOWN52.8%
UP 47.2%52.8% DOWN
Low46.6%118 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentDOWN52.3%
UP 47.7%52.3% DOWN
Medium51.7%118 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentUP52.1%
UP 52.1%47.9% DOWN
Low45.8%118 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.2%
UP 49.8%50.2% DOWN
Low48.3%118 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentUP51.2%
UP 51.2%48.8% DOWN
Low47.5%118 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for ZEC: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 11:15:00 UTC

11:15:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−4.1 bps917.64ok
  • Coinbase0.0 bps918.02ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD+7.8 bps918.73ok
Median of 3 sources$918.02

Settlement · 11:20:00 UTC

11:20:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−1.8 bps920.69ok
  • Coinbase+4.3 bps921.25ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps920.85ok
Median of 3 sources$920.85

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min ZEC windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
11:10 → 11:15Nov 15916.20918.02UP7 / 9 UPUP54.2%WIN
11:05 → 11:10Nov 15919.91916.20DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN62.4%WIN
11:00 → 11:05Nov 15——VOID—Insufficient Data
10:55 → 11:00Nov 15919.67919.20DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN66.8%WIN
10:50 → 10:55Nov 15914.32919.67UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN57.2%LOSS
10:45 → 10:50Nov 15915.05914.32DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN63.0%WIN
10:40 → 10:45Nov 15912.28915.05UP9 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.6%LOSS
10:35 → 10:40Nov 15908.23912.28UP6 / 9 UPUP51.2%WIN
10:30 → 10:35Nov 15908.38908.23DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.5%WIN
10:25 → 10:30Nov 15908.41908.38DOWN6 / 9 UPUP55.5%LOSS
10:20 → 10:25Nov 15910.72908.41DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.8%WIN
10:15 → 10:20Nov 15914.04910.72DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.7%WIN

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on ZEC · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · ZEC 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Meta Agent55.9%118 mkts
  2. 2Mean Reversion Agent55.9%118 mkts
  3. 3Trend Agent57.6%118 mkts
  4. 4RSI Divergence Agent59.3%118 mkts
  5. 5Volatility Agent51.7%118 mkts
  6. 6Momentum Agent54.2%118 mkts

About this market

Zcash · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology