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PROBORA

Market record

BNB Up or Down · 15 Min

02:45 → 03:00 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled02:45 → 03:00 UTC

Market ID bnb-15m-20261115-0245

Settled

Nov 15, 03:00:00 UTC

Price to beat

$591.03
Index at 02:45:00

Final index

$593.61

Settlement price

$593.61
Index at 03:00:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
590.60591.69592.79593.8802:4502:4802:5202:5603:00PTB 591.03

Settlement $593.61

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
DOWN59.3%Medium
UP 40.7%59.3% DOWN
Historical accuracy
0.0%
3 markets
Model version
meta-bnb15-v1
published 02:45:06 UTC

Base consensus

5 / 9 UP

55.6% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 02:45:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN60.7%
UP 39.3%60.7% DOWN
Medium0.0%3 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentDOWN51.4%
UP 48.6%51.4% DOWN
Medium33.3%3 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN55.6%
UP 44.4%55.6% DOWN
Medium0.0%3 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN58.0%
UP 42.0%58.0% DOWN
Medium0.0%3 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentUP51.3%
UP 51.3%48.7% DOWN
Low66.7%3 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentUP52.2%
UP 52.2%47.8% DOWN
Medium100.0%3 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentUP52.2%
UP 52.2%47.8% DOWN
Low100.0%3 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low66.7%3 marketsWIN
Whale Flow AgentUP52.1%
UP 52.1%47.9% DOWN
Low66.7%3 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for BNB: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 02:45:00 UTC

02:45:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+1.3 bps591.11ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps591.03ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD−0.8 bps590.98ok
Median of 3 sources$591.03

Settlement · 03:00:00 UTC

03:00:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+0.3 bps593.62ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−1.0 bps593.55ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD0.0 bps593.61ok
Median of 3 sources$593.61

Recent resolved markets

The latest 15 Min BNB windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
02:30 → 02:45Nov 15588.32591.03UP6 / 9 UPDOWN59.5%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on BNB · 15 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · BNB 15 Min

View all →
  1. 1Liquidation Agent100.0%3 mkts
  2. 2Volatility Agent100.0%3 mkts
  3. 3Whale Flow Agent66.7%3 mkts
  4. 4Order Flow Agent66.7%3 mkts
  5. 5OI/Funding Agent66.7%3 mkts
  6. 6Momentum Agent33.3%3 mkts

About this market

BNB · 15 Minute windows

Fifteen-minute windows sit between micro-structure and intraday trend. Flow and positioning signals still dominate, but trend and volatility context starts to carry real information.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, derivatives positioning and momentum shifts.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology