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PROBORA

Market record

BNB Up or Down · 15 Min

03:00 → 03:15 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled03:00 → 03:15 UTC

Market ID bnb-15m-20261115-0300

Settled

Nov 15, 03:15:00 UTC

Price to beat

$593.61
Index at 03:00:00

Final index

$596.05

Settlement price

$596.05
Index at 03:15:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
594.84596.04597.2303:0003:0303:0703:1103:15PTB 593.61

Settlement $596.05

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
DOWN61.7%High
UP 38.3%61.7% DOWN
Historical accuracy
25.0%
4 markets
Model version
meta-bnb15-v1
published 03:00:09 UTC

Base consensus

7 / 9 DOWN

77.8% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 03:00:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN60.5%
UP 39.5%60.5% DOWN
Medium25.0%4 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentDOWN50.3%
UP 49.7%50.3% DOWN
Medium50.0%4 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN58.0%
UP 42.0%58.0% DOWN
Medium25.0%4 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN55.0%
UP 45.0%55.0% DOWN
Medium25.0%4 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentDOWN51.8%
UP 48.2%51.8% DOWN
Low50.0%4 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentUP51.0%
UP 51.0%49.0% DOWN
Medium75.0%4 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentUP52.2%
UP 52.2%47.8% DOWN
Low75.0%4 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.1%
UP 49.9%50.1% DOWN
Low75.0%4 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentDOWN51.5%
UP 48.5%51.5% DOWN
Low50.0%4 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for BNB: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 03:00:00 UTC

03:00:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+0.3 bps593.62ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−1.0 bps593.55ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD0.0 bps593.61ok
Median of 3 sources$593.61

Settlement · 03:15:00 UTC

03:15:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−1.8 bps595.95ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD+1.5 bps596.14ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps596.05ok
Median of 3 sources$596.05

Recent resolved markets

The latest 15 Min BNB windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
02:45 → 03:00Nov 15591.03593.61UP5 / 9 UPDOWN59.3%LOSS
02:30 → 02:45Nov 15588.32591.03UP6 / 9 UPDOWN59.5%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on BNB · 15 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · BNB 15 Min

View all →
  1. 1Volatility Agent75.0%4 mkts
  2. 2Liquidation Agent75.0%4 mkts
  3. 3OI/Funding Agent75.0%4 mkts
  4. 4Momentum Agent50.0%4 mkts
  5. 5Whale Flow Agent50.0%4 mkts
  6. 6Order Flow Agent50.0%4 mkts

About this market

BNB · 15 Minute windows

Fifteen-minute windows sit between micro-structure and intraday trend. Flow and positioning signals still dominate, but trend and volatility context starts to carry real information.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, derivatives positioning and momentum shifts.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology