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PROBORA

Market record

BNB Up or Down · 15 Min

03:15 → 03:30 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled03:15 → 03:30 UTC

Market ID bnb-15m-20261115-0315

Settled

Nov 15, 03:30:00 UTC

Price to beat

$596.05
Index at 03:15:00

Final index

$594.13

Settlement price

$594.13
Index at 03:30:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
594.01594.94596.8003:1503:1803:2203:2603:30PTB 596.05

Settlement $594.13

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsWIN
DOWN63.0%Medium
UP 37.0%63.0% DOWN
Historical accuracy
20.0%
5 markets
Model version
meta-bnb15-v1
published 03:15:05 UTC

Base consensus

5 / 9 DOWN

55.6% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 03:15:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN65.0%
UP 35.0%65.0% DOWN
Medium20.0%5 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentDOWN55.6%
UP 44.4%55.6% DOWN
Medium40.0%5 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN55.2%
UP 44.8%55.2% DOWN
Medium20.0%5 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN57.5%
UP 42.5%57.5% DOWN
Medium20.0%5 marketsWIN
Order Flow AgentUP51.3%
UP 51.3%48.7% DOWN
Low60.0%5 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Medium80.0%5 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentUP52.2%
UP 52.2%47.8% DOWN
Low80.0%5 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low60.0%5 marketsWIN
Whale Flow AgentUP50.7%
UP 50.7%49.3% DOWN
Low40.0%5 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for BNB: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 03:15:00 UTC

03:15:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−1.8 bps595.95ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps596.05ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD+1.5 bps596.14ok
Median of 3 sources$596.05

Settlement · 03:30:00 UTC

03:30:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps594.13ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−2.8 bps593.97ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD+2.8 bps594.30ok
Median of 3 sources$594.13

Recent resolved markets

The latest 15 Min BNB windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
03:00 → 03:15Nov 15593.61596.05UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.7%LOSS
02:45 → 03:00Nov 15591.03593.61UP5 / 9 UPDOWN59.3%LOSS
02:30 → 02:45Nov 15588.32591.03UP6 / 9 UPDOWN59.5%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on BNB · 15 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · BNB 15 Min

View all →
  1. 1Volatility Agent80.0%5 mkts
  2. 2Liquidation Agent80.0%5 mkts
  3. 3Order Flow Agent60.0%5 mkts
  4. 4OI/Funding Agent60.0%5 mkts
  5. 5Momentum Agent40.0%5 mkts
  6. 6Whale Flow Agent40.0%5 mkts

About this market

BNB · 15 Minute windows

Fifteen-minute windows sit between micro-structure and intraday trend. Flow and positioning signals still dominate, but trend and volatility context starts to carry real information.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, derivatives positioning and momentum shifts.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology