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PROBORA

Market record

BNB Up or Down · 15 Min

03:30 → 03:45 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled03:30 → 03:45 UTC

Market ID bnb-15m-20261115-0330

Settled

Nov 15, 03:45:00 UTC

Price to beat

$594.13
Index at 03:30:00

Final index

$595.35

Settlement price

$595.35
Index at 03:45:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
592.41593.35595.2403:3003:3303:3703:4103:45PTB 594.13

Settlement $595.35

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
DOWN55.3%Medium
UP 44.7%55.3% DOWN
Historical accuracy
20.0%
5 markets
Model version
meta-bnb15-v1
published 03:30:06 UTC

Base consensus

6 / 9 DOWN

66.7% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 03:30:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN57.9%
UP 42.1%57.9% DOWN
Medium20.0%5 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentDOWN51.3%
UP 48.7%51.3% DOWN
Medium40.0%5 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN51.8%
UP 48.2%51.8% DOWN
Medium20.0%5 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN50.3%
UP 49.7%50.3% DOWN
Medium20.0%5 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentUP51.4%
UP 51.4%48.6% DOWN
Low60.0%5 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentUP50.3%
UP 50.3%49.7% DOWN
Medium80.0%5 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low80.0%5 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.1%
UP 49.9%50.1% DOWN
Low60.0%5 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentDOWN50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low40.0%5 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for BNB: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 03:30:00 UTC

03:30:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps594.13ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−2.8 bps593.97ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD+2.8 bps594.30ok
Median of 3 sources$594.13

Settlement · 03:45:00 UTC

03:45:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−0.9 bps595.30ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps595.35ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD+1.8 bps595.46ok
Median of 3 sources$595.35

Recent resolved markets

The latest 15 Min BNB windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
03:15 → 03:30Nov 15596.05594.13DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN63.0%WIN
03:00 → 03:15Nov 15593.61596.05UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.7%LOSS
02:45 → 03:00Nov 15591.03593.61UP5 / 9 UPDOWN59.3%LOSS
02:30 → 02:45Nov 15588.32591.03UP6 / 9 UPDOWN59.5%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on BNB · 15 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · BNB 15 Min

View all →
  1. 1Volatility Agent80.0%5 mkts
  2. 2Liquidation Agent80.0%5 mkts
  3. 3Order Flow Agent60.0%5 mkts
  4. 4OI/Funding Agent60.0%5 mkts
  5. 5Momentum Agent40.0%5 mkts
  6. 6Whale Flow Agent40.0%5 mkts

About this market

BNB · 15 Minute windows

Fifteen-minute windows sit between micro-structure and intraday trend. Flow and positioning signals still dominate, but trend and volatility context starts to carry real information.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, derivatives positioning and momentum shifts.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology