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PROBORA

Market record

BNB Up or Down · 5 Min

12:35 → 12:40 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled12:35 → 12:40 UTC

Market ID bnb-5m-20261115-1235

Settled

Nov 15, 12:40:00 UTC

Price to beat

$597.84
Index at 12:35:00

Final index

$597.18

Settlement price

$597.18
Index at 12:40:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
597.15597.37597.6012:3512:3612:3712:3812:40PTB 597.84

Settlement $597.18

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsWIN
DOWN52.0%Low
UP 48.0%52.0% DOWN
Historical accuracy
48.5%
206 markets
Model version
meta-bnb5-v1
published 12:35:04 UTC

Base consensus

5 / 9 DOWN

55.6% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 12:35:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN54.2%
UP 45.8%54.2% DOWN
Medium49.0%206 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentDOWN56.5%
UP 43.5%56.5% DOWN
Medium48.5%206 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN57.5%
UP 42.5%57.5% DOWN
Medium48.1%206 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN53.6%
UP 46.4%53.6% DOWN
Medium48.5%206 marketsWIN
Order Flow AgentUP50.2%
UP 50.2%49.8% DOWN
Low52.4%206 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentDOWN54.8%
UP 45.2%54.8% DOWN
Medium45.6%206 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low50.5%206 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low47.1%206 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentUP52.1%
UP 52.1%47.9% DOWN
Low51.0%206 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for BNB: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 12:35:00 UTC

12:35:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps597.84ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD+0.8 bps597.89ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−0.3 bps597.83ok
Median of 3 sources$597.84

Settlement · 12:40:00 UTC

12:40:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+0.4 bps597.21ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD0.0 bps597.18ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−1.3 bps597.10ok
Median of 3 sources$597.18

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min BNB windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
12:30 → 12:35Nov 15597.67597.84UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN56.9%LOSS
12:25 → 12:30Nov 15597.66597.67UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN56.5%LOSS
12:20 → 12:25Nov 15597.35597.66UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.5%LOSS
12:15 → 12:20Nov 15596.30597.35UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.8%LOSS
12:10 → 12:15Nov 15596.38596.30DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.8%WIN
12:05 → 12:10Nov 15595.23596.38UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.8%LOSS
12:00 → 12:05Nov 15595.47595.23DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN56.7%WIN
11:55 → 12:00Nov 15596.91595.47DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.2%WIN
11:50 → 11:55Nov 15597.47596.91DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.3%WIN
11:45 → 11:50Nov 15597.48597.47DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN56.5%WIN
11:40 → 11:45Nov 15597.96597.48DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.0%WIN
11:35 → 11:40Nov 15597.10597.96UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.9%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on BNB · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · BNB 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Order Flow Agent52.4%206 mkts
  2. 2Whale Flow Agent51.0%206 mkts
  3. 3Liquidation Agent50.5%206 mkts
  4. 4OI/Funding Agent47.1%206 mkts
  5. 5Trend Agent49.0%206 mkts
  6. 6Mean Reversion Agent48.1%206 mkts

About this market

BNB · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology