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PROBORA

Market record

DOGE Up or Down · 5 Min

11:30 → 11:35 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled11:30 → 11:35 UTC

Market ID doge-5m-20261115-1130

Settled

Nov 15, 11:35:00 UTC

Price to beat

$0.05917
Index at 11:30:00

Final index

$0.05918

Settlement price

$0.05918
Index at 11:35:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
0.059150.059210.059260.0593211:3011:3111:3211:3311:35PTB 0.05917

Settlement $0.05918

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
DOWN50.4%Low
UP 49.6%50.4% DOWN
Historical accuracy
47.2%
178 markets
Model version
meta-doge5-v1
published 11:30:07 UTC

Base consensus

5 / 9 DOWN

55.6% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 11:30:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN53.3%
UP 46.7%53.3% DOWN
Medium46.1%178 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentDOWN57.2%
UP 42.8%57.2% DOWN
Medium46.6%178 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentUP50.8%
UP 50.8%49.2% DOWN
Medium50.6%178 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN50.7%
UP 49.3%50.7% DOWN
Medium49.4%178 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low51.1%178 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentDOWN52.8%
UP 47.2%52.8% DOWN
Medium44.9%178 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentUP52.2%
UP 52.2%47.8% DOWN
Low53.9%178 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentUP50.2%
UP 50.2%49.8% DOWN
Low53.9%178 marketsWIN
Whale Flow AgentDOWN50.6%
UP 49.4%50.6% DOWN
Low49.4%178 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for DOGE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 11:30:00 UTC

11:30:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.05917ok
  • Coinbase+0.8 bps0.05917ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−2.5 bps0.05915ok
Median of 3 sources$0.05917

Settlement · 11:35:00 UTC

11:35:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.05918ok
  • Coinbase+2.4 bps0.05919ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−2.5 bps0.05916ok
Median of 3 sources$0.05918

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min DOGE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
11:25 → 11:30Nov 150.059090.05917UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN59.9%LOSS
11:20 → 11:25Nov 150.059060.05909UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.1%LOSS
11:15 → 11:20Nov 150.058940.05906UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN62.7%LOSS
11:10 → 11:15Nov 150.059000.05894DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.6%WIN
11:05 → 11:10Nov 150.059080.05900DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.7%WIN
11:00 → 11:05Nov 15——VOID—Insufficient Data
10:55 → 11:00Nov 150.059130.05916UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN56.3%LOSS
10:50 → 10:55Nov 150.059020.05913UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.3%LOSS
10:45 → 10:50Nov 150.059110.05902DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN59.2%WIN
10:40 → 10:45Nov 150.059050.05911UP5 / 9 UPDOWN54.6%LOSS
10:35 → 10:40Nov 150.059010.05905UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.8%LOSS
10:30 → 10:35Nov 150.058910.05901UP5 / 9 UPDOWN54.8%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on DOGE · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · DOGE 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Liquidation Agent53.9%178 mkts
  2. 2Order Flow Agent51.1%178 mkts
  3. 3OI/Funding Agent53.9%178 mkts
  4. 4Whale Flow Agent49.4%178 mkts
  5. 5RSI Divergence Agent49.4%178 mkts
  6. 6Mean Reversion Agent50.6%178 mkts

About this market

Dogecoin · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology