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PROBORA

Market record

DOGE Up or Down · 5 Min

11:10 → 11:15 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled11:10 → 11:15 UTC

Market ID doge-5m-20261115-1110

Settled

Nov 15, 11:15:00 UTC

Price to beat

$0.05900
Index at 11:10:00

Final index

$0.05894

Settlement price

$0.05894
Index at 11:15:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
0.058890.058960.059020.0590911:1011:1111:1211:1311:15PTB 0.05900

Settlement $0.05894

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsWIN
DOWN60.6%High
UP 39.4%60.6% DOWN
Historical accuracy
46.7%
169 markets
Model version
meta-doge5-v1
published 11:10:04 UTC

Base consensus

7 / 9 DOWN

77.8% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 11:10:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN56.5%
UP 43.5%56.5% DOWN
Medium45.6%169 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentDOWN51.6%
UP 48.4%51.6% DOWN
Medium46.2%169 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN53.9%
UP 46.1%53.9% DOWN
Medium49.7%169 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN57.5%
UP 42.5%57.5% DOWN
Medium49.1%169 marketsWIN
Order Flow AgentDOWN52.3%
UP 47.7%52.3% DOWN
Low52.1%169 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentDOWN56.3%
UP 43.7%56.3% DOWN
Medium44.4%169 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentUP52.2%
UP 52.2%47.8% DOWN
Low54.4%169 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentUP50.3%
UP 50.3%49.7% DOWN
Low54.4%169 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentDOWN52.1%
UP 47.9%52.1% DOWN
Low50.3%169 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for DOGE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 11:10:00 UTC

11:10:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+2.6 bps0.05902ok
  • Coinbase0.0 bps0.05900ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−1.6 bps0.05899ok
Median of 3 sources$0.05900

Settlement · 11:15:00 UTC

11:15:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.05894ok
  • Coinbase+4.3 bps0.05897ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−0.8 bps0.05894ok
Median of 3 sources$0.05894

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min DOGE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
11:05 → 11:10Nov 150.059080.05900DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.7%WIN
11:00 → 11:05Nov 15——VOID—Insufficient Data
10:55 → 11:00Nov 150.059130.05916UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN56.3%LOSS
10:50 → 10:55Nov 150.059020.05913UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.3%LOSS
10:45 → 10:50Nov 150.059110.05902DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN59.2%WIN
10:40 → 10:45Nov 150.059050.05911UP5 / 9 UPDOWN54.6%LOSS
10:35 → 10:40Nov 150.059010.05905UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.8%LOSS
10:30 → 10:35Nov 150.058910.05901UP5 / 9 UPDOWN54.8%LOSS
10:25 → 10:30Nov 150.058910.05891FLAT7 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.0%PUSH
10:20 → 10:25Nov 150.058980.05891DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN66.0%WIN
10:15 → 10:20Nov 150.059110.05898DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.0%WIN
10:10 → 10:15Nov 150.059030.05911UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.4%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on DOGE · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · DOGE 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Liquidation Agent54.4%169 mkts
  2. 2Order Flow Agent52.1%169 mkts
  3. 3OI/Funding Agent54.4%169 mkts
  4. 4Whale Flow Agent50.3%169 mkts
  5. 5RSI Divergence Agent49.1%169 mkts
  6. 6Mean Reversion Agent49.7%169 mkts

About this market

Dogecoin · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology