Market record

DOGE Up or Down · 5 Min

10:25 → 10:30 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.

Settled10:25 → 10:30 UTC

Market ID doge-5m-20261115-1025

Settled

Nov 15, 10:30:00 UTC

Price to beat

$0.05891

Index at 10:25:00

Final index

$0.05891

Settlement price

$0.05891

Index at 10:30:00

Outcome

FLAT

Immutable record

Settlement $0.05891

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsPUSH

DOWN61.0%High

UP 39.0%61.0% DOWN

Historical accuracy: 46.5%; 155 markets
Model version: meta-doge5-v1; published 10:25:05 UTC

Base consensus

7 / 9 DOWN

77.8% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 10:25:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

Agent	Prediction	UP / DOWN	Confidence	Hist. accuracy	Model · published	Result
Trend Agent	DOWN54.4%	UP 45.6%54.4% DOWN	Medium	45.2%155 markets	trend-doge5-v210:25:05 UTC	PUSH
Momentum Agent	DOWN55.8%	UP 44.2%55.8% DOWN	Medium	46.5%155 markets	momentum-doge5-v210:25:05 UTC	PUSH
Mean Reversion Agent	DOWN52.3%	UP 47.7%52.3% DOWN	Medium	50.3%155 markets	meanrev-doge5-v210:25:05 UTC	PUSH
RSI Divergence Agent	DOWN58.4%	UP 41.6%58.4% DOWN	Medium	49.0%155 markets	rsidiv-doge5-v210:25:05 UTC	PUSH
Order Flow Agent	DOWN52.0%	UP 48.0%52.0% DOWN	Low	52.9%155 markets	orderflow-doge5-v110:25:05 UTC	PUSH
Volatility Agent	DOWN50.5%	UP 49.5%50.5% DOWN	Medium	43.9%155 markets	volatility-doge5-v210:25:05 UTC	PUSH
Liquidation Agent	UP50.0%	UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN	Low	54.8%155 markets	liquidation-doge5-v110:25:05 UTC	PUSH
OI/Funding Agent	UP50.2%	UP 50.2%49.8% DOWN	Low	54.8%155 markets	oifunding-doge5-v110:25:05 UTC	PUSH
Whale Flow Agent	DOWN51.4%	UP 48.6%51.4% DOWN	Low	50.3%155 markets	whaleflow-doge5-v110:25:05 UTC	PUSH

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for DOGE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 10:25:00 UTC

10:25:00 UTC

BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.05891ok
Coinbase+0.6 bps0.05891ok
OKXUSDT→USD−2.5 bps0.05889ok

Median of 3 sources$0.05891

Settlement · 10:30:00 UTC

10:30:00 UTC

BinanceUSDT→USD+0.8 bps0.05892ok
Coinbase−5.4 bps0.05888ok
OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.05891ok

Median of 3 sources$0.05891

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min DOGE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)	Price to beat	Settlement	Outcome	Base consensus	Meta	Meta result
10:20 → 10:25Nov 15	0.05898	0.05891	DOWN	5 / 9 DOWN	DOWN66.0%	WIN
10:15 → 10:20Nov 15	0.05911	0.05898	DOWN	5 / 9 DOWN	DOWN53.0%	WIN
10:10 → 10:15Nov 15	0.05903	0.05911	UP	5 / 9 DOWN	DOWN53.4%	LOSS
10:05 → 10:10Nov 15	0.05882	0.05903	UP	5 / 9 DOWN	DOWN51.5%	LOSS
10:00 → 10:05Nov 15	0.05862	0.05882	UP	6 / 9 DOWN	DOWN60.1%	LOSS
09:55 → 10:00Nov 15	0.05872	0.05862	DOWN	6 / 9 DOWN	DOWN55.5%	WIN
09:50 → 09:55Nov 15	0.05865	0.05872	UP	5 / 9 UP	DOWN61.8%	LOSS
09:45 → 09:50Nov 15	0.05879	0.05865	DOWN	6 / 9 DOWN	DOWN58.6%	WIN
09:40 → 09:45Nov 15	0.05877	0.05879	UP	6 / 9 DOWN	DOWN57.9%	LOSS
09:35 → 09:40Nov 15	0.05872	0.05877	UP	6 / 9 DOWN	DOWN65.2%	LOSS
09:30 → 09:35Nov 15	0.05894	0.05872	DOWN	6 / 9 DOWN	DOWN61.2%	WIN
09:25 → 09:30Nov 15	—	—	VOID	—	Insufficient Data

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on DOGE · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · DOGE 5 Min

View all →

1Liquidation Agent54.8%155 mkts
2Order Flow Agent52.9%155 mkts
3OI/Funding Agent54.8%155 mkts
4Whale Flow Agent50.3%155 mkts
5RSI Divergence Agent49.0%155 mkts
6Mean Reversion Agent50.3%155 mkts

About this market

Dogecoin · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.

Read the methodology