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PROBORA

Market record

DOGE Up or Down · 5 Min

09:45 → 09:50 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled09:45 → 09:50 UTC

Market ID doge-5m-20261115-0945

Settled

Nov 15, 09:50:00 UTC

Price to beat

$0.05879
Index at 09:45:00

Final index

$0.05865

Settlement price

$0.05865
Index at 09:50:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
0.058630.058690.058760.0588209:4509:4609:4709:4809:50PTB 0.05879

Settlement $0.05865

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsWIN
DOWN58.6%Medium
UP 41.4%58.6% DOWN
Historical accuracy
47.5%
141 markets
Model version
meta-doge5-v1
published 09:45:07 UTC

Base consensus

6 / 9 DOWN

66.7% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 09:45:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN55.0%
UP 45.0%55.0% DOWN
Medium46.8%141 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentDOWN59.5%
UP 40.5%59.5% DOWN
Medium48.2%141 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN50.4%
UP 49.6%50.4% DOWN
Medium51.8%141 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN53.7%
UP 46.3%53.7% DOWN
Medium50.4%141 marketsWIN
Order Flow AgentDOWN52.9%
UP 47.1%52.9% DOWN
Low53.2%141 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentUP51.7%
UP 51.7%48.3% DOWN
Medium44.7%141 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentUP52.2%
UP 52.2%47.8% DOWN
Low53.2%141 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentUP50.1%
UP 50.1%49.9% DOWN
Low53.9%141 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentDOWN50.2%
UP 49.8%50.2% DOWN
Low51.1%141 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for DOGE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 09:45:00 UTC

09:45:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−0.8 bps0.05879ok
  • Coinbase+3.0 bps0.05881ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.05879ok
Median of 3 sources$0.05879

Settlement · 09:50:00 UTC

09:50:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−0.9 bps0.05865ok
  • Coinbase+3.1 bps0.05867ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.05865ok
Median of 3 sources$0.05865

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min DOGE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
09:40 → 09:45Nov 150.058770.05879UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN57.9%LOSS
09:35 → 09:40Nov 150.058720.05877UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN65.2%LOSS
09:30 → 09:35Nov 150.058940.05872DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.2%WIN
09:25 → 09:30Nov 15——VOID—Insufficient Data
09:20 → 09:25Nov 150.058950.05886DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.8%WIN
09:15 → 09:20Nov 150.059040.05895DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN58.3%WIN
09:10 → 09:15Nov 150.058870.05904UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN62.5%LOSS
09:05 → 09:10Nov 150.058980.05887DOWN7 / 9 UPUP55.4%LOSS
09:00 → 09:05Nov 150.058360.05898UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN55.9%LOSS
08:55 → 09:00Nov 150.058040.05836UP5 / 9 UPDOWN56.5%LOSS
08:50 → 08:55Nov 150.057880.05804UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN62.0%LOSS
08:45 → 08:50Nov 150.057880.05788FLAT7 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.2%PUSH

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on DOGE · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · DOGE 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Liquidation Agent53.2%141 mkts
  2. 2Order Flow Agent53.2%141 mkts
  3. 3Whale Flow Agent51.1%141 mkts
  4. 4OI/Funding Agent53.9%141 mkts
  5. 5RSI Divergence Agent50.4%141 mkts
  6. 6Mean Reversion Agent51.8%141 mkts

About this market

Dogecoin · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology