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PROBORA

Market record

DOGE Up or Down · 5 Min

09:05 → 09:10 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled09:05 → 09:10 UTC

Market ID doge-5m-20261115-0905

Settled

Nov 15, 09:10:00 UTC

Price to beat

$0.05898
Index at 09:05:00

Final index

$0.05887

Settlement price

$0.05887
Index at 09:10:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
0.058700.058850.0591509:0509:0609:0709:0809:10PTB 0.05898

Settlement $0.05887

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
UP55.4%Medium
UP 55.4%44.6% DOWN
Historical accuracy
45.3%
128 markets
Model version
meta-doge5-v1
published 09:05:04 UTC

Base consensus

7 / 9 UP

77.8% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 09:05:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentUP58.7%
UP 58.7%41.3% DOWN
Medium44.5%128 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentUP54.8%
UP 54.8%45.2% DOWN
Medium46.9%128 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN59.2%
UP 40.8%59.2% DOWN
Medium49.2%128 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentUP50.5%
UP 50.5%49.5% DOWN
Medium48.4%128 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentUP50.5%
UP 50.5%49.5% DOWN
Low53.1%128 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentDOWN53.5%
UP 46.5%53.5% DOWN
Medium43.8%128 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentUP52.1%
UP 52.1%47.9% DOWN
Low54.7%128 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentUP50.1%
UP 50.1%49.9% DOWN
Low55.5%128 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentUP51.0%
UP 51.0%49.0% DOWN
Low49.2%128 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for DOGE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 09:05:00 UTC

09:05:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+0.7 bps0.05898ok
  • Coinbase0.0 bps0.05898ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−1.8 bps0.05897ok
Median of 3 sources$0.05898

Settlement · 09:10:00 UTC

09:10:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.05887ok
  • Coinbase+2.6 bps0.05889ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−0.8 bps0.05887ok
Median of 3 sources$0.05887

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min DOGE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
09:00 → 09:05Nov 150.058360.05898UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN55.9%LOSS
08:55 → 09:00Nov 150.058040.05836UP5 / 9 UPDOWN56.5%LOSS
08:50 → 08:55Nov 150.057880.05804UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN62.0%LOSS
08:45 → 08:50Nov 150.057880.05788FLAT7 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.2%PUSH
08:40 → 08:45Nov 150.057750.05788UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN68.9%LOSS
08:35 → 08:40Nov 150.057870.05775DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.2%WIN
08:30 → 08:35Nov 150.057820.05787UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN57.2%LOSS
08:25 → 08:30Nov 150.057540.05782UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.1%LOSS
08:20 → 08:25Nov 150.057320.05754UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.4%LOSS
08:15 → 08:20Nov 150.057330.05732DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN70.6%WIN
08:10 → 08:15Nov 150.057630.05733DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN55.9%WIN
08:05 → 08:10Nov 150.057560.05763UP9 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.8%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on DOGE · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · DOGE 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Liquidation Agent54.7%128 mkts
  2. 2Order Flow Agent53.1%128 mkts
  3. 3OI/Funding Agent55.5%128 mkts
  4. 4Whale Flow Agent49.2%128 mkts
  5. 5RSI Divergence Agent48.4%128 mkts
  6. 6Momentum Agent46.9%128 mkts

About this market

Dogecoin · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology