Market record

DOGE Up or Down · 5 Min

08:50 → 08:55 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.

Settled08:50 → 08:55 UTC

Market ID doge-5m-20261115-0850

Settled

Nov 15, 08:55:00 UTC

Price to beat

$0.05788

Index at 08:50:00

Final index

$0.05804

Settlement price

$0.05804

Index at 08:55:00

Outcome

Immutable record

Settlement $0.05804

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS

DOWN62.0%High

UP 38.0%62.0% DOWN

Historical accuracy: 46.0%; 124 markets
Model version: meta-doge5-v1; published 08:50:04 UTC

Base consensus

8 / 9 DOWN

88.9% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 08:50:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

Agent	Prediction	UP / DOWN	Confidence	Hist. accuracy	Model · published	Result
Trend Agent	DOWN54.6%	UP 45.4%54.6% DOWN	Medium	45.2%124 markets	trend-doge5-v208:50:04 UTC	LOSS
Momentum Agent	DOWN59.6%	UP 40.4%59.6% DOWN	Medium	47.6%124 markets	momentum-doge5-v208:50:04 UTC	LOSS
Mean Reversion Agent	DOWN51.6%	UP 48.4%51.6% DOWN	Medium	50.0%124 markets	meanrev-doge5-v208:50:04 UTC	LOSS
RSI Divergence Agent	DOWN52.0%	UP 48.0%52.0% DOWN	Medium	49.2%124 markets	rsidiv-doge5-v208:50:04 UTC	LOSS
Order Flow Agent	DOWN51.1%	UP 48.9%51.1% DOWN	Low	53.2%124 markets	orderflow-doge5-v108:50:04 UTC	LOSS
Volatility Agent	DOWN51.3%	UP 48.7%51.3% DOWN	Medium	44.4%124 markets	volatility-doge5-v208:50:04 UTC	LOSS
Liquidation Agent	UP52.2%	UP 52.2%47.8% DOWN	Low	54.0%124 markets	liquidation-doge5-v108:50:04 UTC	WIN
OI/Funding Agent	DOWN50.0%	UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN	Low	54.8%124 markets	oifunding-doge5-v108:50:04 UTC	LOSS
Whale Flow Agent	DOWN51.7%	UP 48.3%51.7% DOWN	Low	50.0%124 markets	whaleflow-doge5-v108:50:04 UTC	LOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for DOGE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 08:50:00 UTC

08:50:00 UTC

BinanceUSDT→USD+4.3 bps0.05791ok
Coinbase−0.1 bps0.05788ok
OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.05788ok

Median of 3 sources$0.05788

Settlement · 08:55:00 UTC

08:55:00 UTC

BinanceUSDT→USD−0.9 bps0.05803ok
Coinbase+1.7 bps0.05805ok
OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.05804ok

Median of 3 sources$0.05804

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min DOGE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)	Price to beat	Settlement	Outcome	Base consensus	Meta	Meta result
08:45 → 08:50Nov 15	0.05788	0.05788	FLAT	7 / 9 DOWN	DOWN54.2%	PUSH
08:40 → 08:45Nov 15	0.05775	0.05788	UP	6 / 9 DOWN	DOWN68.9%	LOSS
08:35 → 08:40Nov 15	0.05787	0.05775	DOWN	7 / 9 DOWN	DOWN64.2%	WIN
08:30 → 08:35Nov 15	0.05782	0.05787	UP	6 / 9 DOWN	DOWN57.2%	LOSS
08:25 → 08:30Nov 15	0.05754	0.05782	UP	6 / 9 DOWN	DOWN54.1%	LOSS
08:20 → 08:25Nov 15	0.05732	0.05754	UP	7 / 9 DOWN	DOWN61.4%	LOSS
08:15 → 08:20Nov 15	0.05733	0.05732	DOWN	7 / 9 DOWN	DOWN70.6%	WIN
08:10 → 08:15Nov 15	0.05763	0.05733	DOWN	7 / 9 DOWN	DOWN55.9%	WIN
08:05 → 08:10Nov 15	0.05756	0.05763	UP	9 / 9 DOWN	DOWN61.8%	LOSS
08:00 → 08:05Nov 15	0.05754	0.05756	UP	6 / 9 DOWN	DOWN54.8%	LOSS
07:55 → 08:00Nov 15	0.05744	0.05754	UP	6 / 9 DOWN	DOWN54.0%	LOSS
07:50 → 07:55Nov 15	0.05731	0.05744	UP	6 / 9 DOWN	DOWN52.8%	LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on DOGE · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · DOGE 5 Min

View all →

1Liquidation Agent54.0%124 mkts
2Order Flow Agent53.2%124 mkts
3OI/Funding Agent54.8%124 mkts
4Whale Flow Agent50.0%124 mkts
5RSI Divergence Agent49.2%124 mkts
6Momentum Agent47.6%124 mkts

About this market

Dogecoin · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.

Read the methodology