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PROBORA

Market record

DOGE Up or Down · 5 Min

08:55 → 09:00 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled08:55 → 09:00 UTC

Market ID doge-5m-20261115-0855

Settled

Nov 15, 09:00:00 UTC

Price to beat

$0.05804
Index at 08:55:00

Final index

$0.05836

Settlement price

$0.05836
Index at 09:00:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
0.058160.058260.0583708:5508:5608:5708:5809:00PTB 0.05804

Settlement $0.05836

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
DOWN56.5%Medium
UP 43.5%56.5% DOWN
Historical accuracy
46.4%
125 markets
Model version
meta-doge5-v1
published 08:55:04 UTC

Base consensus

5 / 9 UP

55.6% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 08:55:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN50.6%
UP 49.4%50.6% DOWN
Medium45.6%125 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentDOWN56.2%
UP 43.8%56.2% DOWN
Medium48.0%125 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentUP55.9%
UP 55.9%44.1% DOWN
Medium50.4%125 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN52.4%
UP 47.6%52.4% DOWN
Medium49.6%125 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentUP51.2%
UP 51.2%48.8% DOWN
Low52.8%125 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentDOWN54.0%
UP 46.0%54.0% DOWN
Medium44.8%125 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentUP52.2%
UP 52.2%47.8% DOWN
Low53.6%125 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low54.4%125 marketsWIN
Whale Flow AgentUP51.1%
UP 51.1%48.9% DOWN
Low49.6%125 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for DOGE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 08:55:00 UTC

08:55:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−0.9 bps0.05803ok
  • Coinbase+1.7 bps0.05805ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.05804ok
Median of 3 sources$0.05804

Settlement · 09:00:00 UTC

09:00:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+0.9 bps0.05837ok
  • Coinbase−5.2 bps0.05833ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.05836ok
Median of 3 sources$0.05836

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min DOGE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
08:50 → 08:55Nov 150.057880.05804UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN62.0%LOSS
08:45 → 08:50Nov 150.057880.05788FLAT7 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.2%PUSH
08:40 → 08:45Nov 150.057750.05788UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN68.9%LOSS
08:35 → 08:40Nov 150.057870.05775DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.2%WIN
08:30 → 08:35Nov 150.057820.05787UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN57.2%LOSS
08:25 → 08:30Nov 150.057540.05782UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.1%LOSS
08:20 → 08:25Nov 150.057320.05754UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.4%LOSS
08:15 → 08:20Nov 150.057330.05732DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN70.6%WIN
08:10 → 08:15Nov 150.057630.05733DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN55.9%WIN
08:05 → 08:10Nov 150.057560.05763UP9 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.8%LOSS
08:00 → 08:05Nov 150.057540.05756UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.8%LOSS
07:55 → 08:00Nov 150.057440.05754UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.0%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on DOGE · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · DOGE 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Liquidation Agent53.6%125 mkts
  2. 2Order Flow Agent52.8%125 mkts
  3. 3OI/Funding Agent54.4%125 mkts
  4. 4Whale Flow Agent49.6%125 mkts
  5. 5RSI Divergence Agent49.6%125 mkts
  6. 6Momentum Agent48.0%125 mkts

About this market

Dogecoin · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology