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PROBORA

Market record

DOGE Up or Down · 5 Min

08:15 → 08:20 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled08:15 → 08:20 UTC

Market ID doge-5m-20261115-0815

Settled

Nov 15, 08:20:00 UTC

Price to beat

$0.05733
Index at 08:15:00

Final index

$0.05732

Settlement price

$0.05732
Index at 08:20:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
0.057300.057350.057390.0574408:1508:1608:1708:1808:20PTB 0.05733

Settlement $0.05732

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsWIN
DOWN70.6%High
UP 29.4%70.6% DOWN
Historical accuracy
45.1%
113 markets
Model version
meta-doge5-v1
published 08:15:06 UTC

Base consensus

7 / 9 DOWN

77.8% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 08:15:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN59.2%
UP 40.8%59.2% DOWN
Medium45.1%113 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentDOWN61.6%
UP 38.4%61.6% DOWN
Medium47.8%113 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN54.3%
UP 45.7%54.3% DOWN
Medium50.4%113 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN60.6%
UP 39.4%60.6% DOWN
Medium49.6%113 marketsWIN
Order Flow AgentUP51.4%
UP 51.4%48.6% DOWN
Low54.9%113 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentDOWN54.4%
UP 45.6%54.4% DOWN
Medium44.2%113 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentDOWN52.2%
UP 47.8%52.2% DOWN
Low54.0%113 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low54.9%113 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentDOWN50.7%
UP 49.3%50.7% DOWN
Low47.8%113 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for DOGE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 08:15:00 UTC

08:15:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.05733ok
  • Coinbase+0.7 bps0.05733ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−0.9 bps0.05732ok
Median of 3 sources$0.05733

Settlement · 08:20:00 UTC

08:20:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.05732ok
  • Coinbase+2.5 bps0.05733ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−2.6 bps0.05730ok
Median of 3 sources$0.05732

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min DOGE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
08:10 → 08:15Nov 150.057630.05733DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN55.9%WIN
08:05 → 08:10Nov 150.057560.05763UP9 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.8%LOSS
08:00 → 08:05Nov 150.057540.05756UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.8%LOSS
07:55 → 08:00Nov 150.057440.05754UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.0%LOSS
07:50 → 07:55Nov 150.057310.05744UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.8%LOSS
07:45 → 07:50Nov 150.057470.05731DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN70.7%WIN
07:40 → 07:45Nov 150.057770.05747DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN59.4%WIN
07:35 → 07:40Nov 150.057810.05777DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.1%WIN
07:30 → 07:35Nov 150.057930.05781DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN55.3%WIN
07:25 → 07:30Nov 150.057880.05793UP9 / 9 DOWNDOWN62.5%LOSS
07:20 → 07:25Nov 150.057890.05788DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.9%WIN
07:15 → 07:20Nov 150.057810.05789UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN66.3%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on DOGE · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · DOGE 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Liquidation Agent54.0%113 mkts
  2. 2Order Flow Agent54.9%113 mkts
  3. 3OI/Funding Agent54.9%113 mkts
  4. 4Whale Flow Agent47.8%113 mkts
  5. 5RSI Divergence Agent49.6%113 mkts
  6. 6Mean Reversion Agent50.4%113 mkts

About this market

Dogecoin · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology