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PROBORA

Market record

DOGE Up or Down · 5 Min

07:30 → 07:35 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled07:30 → 07:35 UTC

Market ID doge-5m-20261115-0730

Settled

Nov 15, 07:35:00 UTC

Price to beat

$0.05793
Index at 07:30:00

Final index

$0.05781

Settlement price

$0.05781
Index at 07:35:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
0.057790.057840.057900.0579507:3007:3107:3207:3307:35PTB 0.05793

Settlement $0.05781

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsWIN
DOWN55.3%Medium
UP 44.7%55.3% DOWN
Historical accuracy
48.5%
97 markets
Model version
meta-doge5-v1
published 07:30:06 UTC

Base consensus

7 / 9 DOWN

77.8% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 07:30:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN51.5%
UP 48.5%51.5% DOWN
Medium46.4%97 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentDOWN55.8%
UP 44.2%55.8% DOWN
Medium49.5%97 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentUP50.5%
UP 50.5%49.5% DOWN
Medium54.6%97 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN55.5%
UP 44.5%55.5% DOWN
Medium50.5%97 marketsWIN
Order Flow AgentDOWN51.9%
UP 48.1%51.9% DOWN
Low52.6%97 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentUP52.8%
UP 52.8%47.2% DOWN
Medium48.5%97 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentDOWN52.2%
UP 47.8%52.2% DOWN
Low51.5%97 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.1%
UP 49.9%50.1% DOWN
Low52.6%97 marketsWIN
Whale Flow AgentDOWN51.2%
UP 48.8%51.2% DOWN
Low47.4%97 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for DOGE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 07:30:00 UTC

07:30:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.05793ok
  • Coinbase+3.7 bps0.05795ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−2.6 bps0.05791ok
Median of 3 sources$0.05793

Settlement · 07:35:00 UTC

07:35:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+2.6 bps0.05783ok
  • Coinbase−5.8 bps0.05778ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.05781ok
Median of 3 sources$0.05781

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min DOGE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
07:25 → 07:30Nov 150.057880.05793UP9 / 9 DOWNDOWN62.5%LOSS
07:20 → 07:25Nov 150.057890.05788DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.9%WIN
07:15 → 07:20Nov 150.057810.05789UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN66.3%LOSS
07:10 → 07:15Nov 150.057900.05781DOWN6 / 9 UPDOWN52.3%WIN
07:05 → 07:10Nov 150.057710.05790UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN66.1%LOSS
07:00 → 07:05Nov 150.057870.05771DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.5%WIN
06:55 → 07:00Nov 150.057840.05787UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.0%LOSS
06:50 → 06:55Nov 150.058030.05784DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.1%WIN
06:45 → 06:50Nov 150.058040.05803DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN57.7%WIN
06:40 → 06:45Nov 150.057930.05804UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.0%LOSS
06:35 → 06:40Nov 150.057910.05793UP9 / 9 DOWNDOWN69.5%LOSS
06:30 → 06:35Nov 150.058030.05791DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN55.1%WIN

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on DOGE · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · DOGE 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Liquidation Agent51.5%97 mkts
  2. 2Order Flow Agent52.6%97 mkts
  3. 3OI/Funding Agent52.6%97 mkts
  4. 4Whale Flow Agent47.4%97 mkts
  5. 5Mean Reversion Agent54.6%97 mkts
  6. 6Volatility Agent48.5%97 mkts

About this market

Dogecoin · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology