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PROBORA

Market record

DOGE Up or Down · 5 Min

06:30 → 06:35 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled06:30 → 06:35 UTC

Market ID doge-5m-20261115-0630

Settled

Nov 15, 06:35:00 UTC

Price to beat

$0.05803
Index at 06:30:00

Final index

$0.05791

Settlement price

$0.05791
Index at 06:35:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
0.057920.057970.0580706:3006:3106:3206:3306:35PTB 0.05803

Settlement $0.05791

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsWIN
DOWN55.1%Medium
UP 44.9%55.1% DOWN
Historical accuracy
50.0%
78 markets
Model version
meta-doge5-v1
published 06:30:07 UTC

Base consensus

8 / 9 DOWN

88.9% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 06:30:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentUP52.5%
UP 52.5%47.5% DOWN
Medium48.7%78 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentDOWN50.6%
UP 49.4%50.6% DOWN
Medium50.0%78 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN56.0%
UP 44.0%56.0% DOWN
Medium57.7%78 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN54.3%
UP 45.7%54.3% DOWN
Medium50.0%78 marketsWIN
Order Flow AgentDOWN50.9%
UP 49.1%50.9% DOWN
Low48.7%78 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentDOWN58.6%
UP 41.4%58.6% DOWN
Medium44.9%78 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentDOWN52.2%
UP 47.8%52.2% DOWN
Low50.0%78 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.1%
UP 49.9%50.1% DOWN
Low51.3%78 marketsWIN
Whale Flow AgentDOWN50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low46.2%78 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for DOGE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 06:30:00 UTC

06:30:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.05803ok
  • Coinbase+0.4 bps0.05803ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−6.0 bps0.05799ok
Median of 3 sources$0.05803

Settlement · 06:35:00 UTC

06:35:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.05791ok
  • Coinbase+0.4 bps0.05791ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−0.9 bps0.05790ok
Median of 3 sources$0.05791

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min DOGE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
06:25 → 06:30Nov 150.057920.05803UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN69.3%LOSS
06:20 → 06:25Nov 150.057960.05792DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN50.6%WIN
06:15 → 06:20Nov 150.057680.05796UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.0%LOSS
06:10 → 06:15Nov 15——VOID—Insufficient Data
06:05 → 06:10Nov 150.05779—VOID8 / 9 DOWNDOWN63.6%VOID
06:00 → 06:05Nov 150.058040.05779DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.1%WIN
05:55 → 06:00Nov 150.058190.05804DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN57.6%WIN
05:50 → 05:55Nov 150.058230.05819DOWN9 / 9 DOWNDOWN62.8%WIN
05:45 → 05:50Nov 150.058270.05823DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN58.0%WIN
05:40 → 05:45Nov 150.058310.05827DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.2%WIN
05:35 → 05:40Nov 150.058220.05831UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN65.1%LOSS
05:30 → 05:35Nov 150.058410.05822DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.4%WIN

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on DOGE · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · DOGE 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1OI/Funding Agent51.3%78 mkts
  2. 2Liquidation Agent50.0%78 mkts
  3. 3Mean Reversion Agent57.7%78 mkts
  4. 4Order Flow Agent48.7%78 mkts
  5. 5Whale Flow Agent46.2%78 mkts
  6. 6Momentum Agent50.0%78 mkts

About this market

Dogecoin · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology