Market record

DOGE Up or Down · 5 Min

05:55 → 06:00 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.

Settled05:55 → 06:00 UTC

Market ID doge-5m-20261115-0555

Settled

Nov 15, 06:00:00 UTC

Price to beat

$0.05819

Index at 05:55:00

Final index

$0.05804

Settlement price

$0.05804

Index at 06:00:00

Outcome

DOWN

Immutable record

Settlement $0.05804

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsWIN

DOWN57.6%Medium

UP 42.4%57.6% DOWN

Historical accuracy: 52.2%; 69 markets
Model version: meta-doge5-v1; published 05:55:08 UTC

Base consensus

6 / 9 DOWN

66.7% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 05:55:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

Agent	Prediction	UP / DOWN	Confidence	Hist. accuracy	Model · published	Result
Trend Agent	DOWN53.8%	UP 46.2%53.8% DOWN	Medium	50.7%69 markets	trend-doge5-v205:55:08 UTC	WIN
Momentum Agent	DOWN54.4%	UP 45.6%54.4% DOWN	Medium	52.2%69 markets	momentum-doge5-v205:55:08 UTC	WIN
Mean Reversion Agent	DOWN55.6%	UP 44.4%55.6% DOWN	Medium	56.5%69 markets	meanrev-doge5-v205:55:08 UTC	WIN
RSI Divergence Agent	DOWN58.4%	UP 41.6%58.4% DOWN	Medium	52.2%69 markets	rsidiv-doge5-v205:55:08 UTC	WIN
Order Flow Agent	UP51.2%	UP 51.2%48.8% DOWN	Low	47.8%69 markets	orderflow-doge5-v105:55:08 UTC	LOSS
Volatility Agent	UP50.0%	UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN	Medium	44.9%69 markets	volatility-doge5-v205:55:08 UTC	LOSS
Liquidation Agent	DOWN52.2%	UP 47.8%52.2% DOWN	Low	49.3%69 markets	liquidation-doge5-v105:55:08 UTC	WIN
OI/Funding Agent	DOWN50.1%	UP 49.9%50.1% DOWN	Low	50.7%69 markets	oifunding-doge5-v105:55:08 UTC	WIN
Whale Flow Agent	UP51.7%	UP 51.7%48.3% DOWN	Low	46.4%69 markets	whaleflow-doge5-v105:55:08 UTC	LOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for DOGE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 05:55:00 UTC

05:55:00 UTC

BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.05819ok
OKXUSDT→USD−0.9 bps0.05818ok
Coinbase+0.5 bps0.05819ok

Median of 3 sources$0.05819

Settlement · 06:00:00 UTC

06:00:00 UTC

BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.05804ok
OKXUSDT→USD+0.9 bps0.05804ok
Coinbase−6.5 bps0.05800ok

Median of 3 sources$0.05804

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min DOGE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)	Price to beat	Settlement	Outcome	Base consensus	Meta	Meta result
05:50 → 05:55Nov 15	0.05823	0.05819	DOWN	9 / 9 DOWN	DOWN62.8%	WIN
05:45 → 05:50Nov 15	0.05827	0.05823	DOWN	7 / 9 DOWN	DOWN58.0%	WIN
05:40 → 05:45Nov 15	0.05831	0.05827	DOWN	7 / 9 DOWN	DOWN53.2%	WIN
05:35 → 05:40Nov 15	0.05822	0.05831	UP	7 / 9 DOWN	DOWN65.1%	LOSS
05:30 → 05:35Nov 15	0.05841	0.05822	DOWN	7 / 9 DOWN	DOWN64.4%	WIN
05:25 → 05:30Nov 15	0.05848	0.05841	DOWN	8 / 9 DOWN	DOWN62.8%	WIN
05:20 → 05:25Nov 15	0.05852	0.05848	DOWN	8 / 9 DOWN	DOWN55.3%	WIN
05:15 → 05:20Nov 15	0.05836	0.05852	UP	6 / 9 DOWN	UP50.2%	WIN
05:10 → 05:15Nov 15	0.05825	0.05836	UP	6 / 9 DOWN	DOWN55.7%	LOSS
05:05 → 05:10Nov 15	0.05835	0.05825	DOWN	7 / 9 DOWN	DOWN58.3%	WIN
05:00 → 05:05Nov 15	0.05841	0.05835	DOWN	5 / 9 DOWN	DOWN66.7%	WIN
04:55 → 05:00Nov 15	0.05862	0.05841	DOWN	6 / 9 DOWN	DOWN59.1%	WIN

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on DOGE · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · DOGE 5 Min

View all →

1Momentum Agent52.2%69 mkts
2OI/Funding Agent50.7%69 mkts
3Liquidation Agent49.3%69 mkts
4Mean Reversion Agent56.5%69 mkts
5Order Flow Agent47.8%69 mkts
6Whale Flow Agent46.4%69 mkts

About this market

Dogecoin · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.

Read the methodology