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PROBORA

Market record

DOGE Up or Down · 5 Min

05:15 → 05:20 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled05:15 → 05:20 UTC

Market ID doge-5m-20261115-0515

Settled

Nov 15, 05:20:00 UTC

Price to beat

$0.05836
Index at 05:15:00

Final index

$0.05852

Settlement price

$0.05852
Index at 05:20:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
0.058420.058470.0585305:1505:1605:1705:1805:20PTB 0.05836

Settlement $0.05852

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsWIN
UP50.2%Low
UP 50.2%49.8% DOWN
Historical accuracy
53.6%
56 markets
Model version
meta-doge5-v1
published 05:15:07 UTC

Base consensus

6 / 9 DOWN

66.7% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 05:15:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN51.5%
UP 48.5%51.5% DOWN
Medium46.4%56 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentUP52.7%
UP 52.7%47.3% DOWN
Medium50.0%56 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN56.1%
UP 43.9%56.1% DOWN
Medium58.9%56 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentUP52.1%
UP 52.1%47.9% DOWN
Medium51.8%56 marketsWIN
Order Flow AgentDOWN51.0%
UP 49.0%51.0% DOWN
Low46.4%56 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentDOWN51.9%
UP 48.1%51.9% DOWN
Medium50.0%56 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentDOWN52.2%
UP 47.8%52.2% DOWN
Low50.0%56 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.2%
UP 49.8%50.2% DOWN
Low53.6%56 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentUP50.1%
UP 50.1%49.9% DOWN
Low44.6%56 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for DOGE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 05:15:00 UTC

05:15:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.05836ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD+0.9 bps0.05836ok
  • Coinbase−0.9 bps0.05835ok
Median of 3 sources$0.05836

Settlement · 05:20:00 UTC

05:20:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−0.9 bps0.05852ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.05852ok
  • Coinbase+1.6 bps0.05853ok
Median of 3 sources$0.05852

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min DOGE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
05:10 → 05:15Nov 150.058250.05836UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN55.7%LOSS
05:05 → 05:10Nov 150.058350.05825DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN58.3%WIN
05:00 → 05:05Nov 150.058410.05835DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN66.7%WIN
04:55 → 05:00Nov 150.058620.05841DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN59.1%WIN
04:50 → 04:55Nov 150.058620.05862FLAT5 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.1%PUSH
04:45 → 04:50Nov 150.058520.05862UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN56.3%LOSS
04:40 → 04:45Nov 150.058580.05852DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN70.4%WIN
04:35 → 04:40Nov 150.058980.05858DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN58.3%WIN
04:30 → 04:35Nov 150.058890.05898UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.6%LOSS
04:25 → 04:30Nov 150.058740.05889UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.2%LOSS
04:20 → 04:25Nov 150.058730.05874UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.4%LOSS
04:15 → 04:20Nov 150.058850.05873DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN57.3%WIN

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on DOGE · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · DOGE 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1OI/Funding Agent53.6%56 mkts
  2. 2Mean Reversion Agent58.9%56 mkts
  3. 3Liquidation Agent50.0%56 mkts
  4. 4Order Flow Agent46.4%56 mkts
  5. 5Meta Agent53.6%56 mkts
  6. 6Momentum Agent50.0%56 mkts

About this market

Dogecoin · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology