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PROBORA

Market record

DOGE Up or Down · 5 Min

05:40 → 05:45 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled05:40 → 05:45 UTC

Market ID doge-5m-20261115-0540

Settled

Nov 15, 05:45:00 UTC

Price to beat

$0.05831
Index at 05:40:00

Final index

$0.05827

Settlement price

$0.05827
Index at 05:45:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
0.058260.058350.0583905:4005:4105:4205:4305:45PTB 0.05831

Settlement $0.05827

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsWIN
DOWN53.2%Low
UP 46.8%53.2% DOWN
Historical accuracy
53.1%
64 markets
Model version
meta-doge5-v1
published 05:40:04 UTC

Base consensus

7 / 9 DOWN

77.8% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 05:40:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN53.1%
UP 46.9%53.1% DOWN
Medium48.4%64 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentUP50.3%
UP 50.3%49.7% DOWN
Medium53.1%64 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN52.8%
UP 47.2%52.8% DOWN
Medium56.3%64 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN51.7%
UP 48.3%51.7% DOWN
Medium53.1%64 marketsWIN
Order Flow AgentDOWN50.4%
UP 49.6%50.4% DOWN
Low48.4%64 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentDOWN54.1%
UP 45.9%54.1% DOWN
Medium45.3%64 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentDOWN52.2%
UP 47.8%52.2% DOWN
Low46.9%64 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low53.1%64 marketsWIN
Whale Flow AgentUP52.1%
UP 52.1%47.9% DOWN
Low46.9%64 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for DOGE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 05:40:00 UTC

05:40:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.05831ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−4.3 bps0.05828ok
  • Coinbase+2.5 bps0.05832ok
Median of 3 sources$0.05831

Settlement · 05:45:00 UTC

05:45:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−0.9 bps0.05826ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.05827ok
  • Coinbase+1.8 bps0.05828ok
Median of 3 sources$0.05827

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min DOGE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
05:35 → 05:40Nov 150.058220.05831UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN65.1%LOSS
05:30 → 05:35Nov 150.058410.05822DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.4%WIN
05:25 → 05:30Nov 150.058480.05841DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN62.8%WIN
05:20 → 05:25Nov 150.058520.05848DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN55.3%WIN
05:15 → 05:20Nov 150.058360.05852UP6 / 9 DOWNUP50.2%WIN
05:10 → 05:15Nov 150.058250.05836UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN55.7%LOSS
05:05 → 05:10Nov 150.058350.05825DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN58.3%WIN
05:00 → 05:05Nov 150.058410.05835DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN66.7%WIN
04:55 → 05:00Nov 150.058620.05841DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN59.1%WIN
04:50 → 04:55Nov 150.058620.05862FLAT5 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.1%PUSH
04:45 → 04:50Nov 150.058520.05862UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN56.3%LOSS
04:40 → 04:45Nov 150.058580.05852DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN70.4%WIN

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on DOGE · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · DOGE 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Momentum Agent53.1%64 mkts
  2. 2OI/Funding Agent53.1%64 mkts
  3. 3Order Flow Agent48.4%64 mkts
  4. 4Mean Reversion Agent56.3%64 mkts
  5. 5Whale Flow Agent46.9%64 mkts
  6. 6Liquidation Agent46.9%64 mkts

About this market

Dogecoin · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology