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PROBORA

Market record

DOGE Up or Down · 5 Min

05:25 → 05:30 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled05:25 → 05:30 UTC

Market ID doge-5m-20261115-0525

Settled

Nov 15, 05:30:00 UTC

Price to beat

$0.05848
Index at 05:25:00

Final index

$0.05841

Settlement price

$0.05841
Index at 05:30:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
0.058340.058380.0584305:2505:2605:2705:2805:30PTB 0.05848

Settlement $0.05841

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsWIN
DOWN62.8%High
UP 37.2%62.8% DOWN
Historical accuracy
56.7%
60 markets
Model version
meta-doge5-v1
published 05:25:04 UTC

Base consensus

8 / 9 DOWN

88.9% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 05:25:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN52.4%
UP 47.6%52.4% DOWN
Medium50.0%60 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentDOWN60.8%
UP 39.2%60.8% DOWN
Medium53.3%60 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN53.8%
UP 46.2%53.8% DOWN
Medium60.0%60 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN50.7%
UP 49.3%50.7% DOWN
Medium55.0%60 marketsWIN
Order Flow AgentUP50.2%
UP 50.2%49.8% DOWN
Low48.3%60 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentDOWN54.0%
UP 46.0%54.0% DOWN
Medium48.3%60 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentDOWN52.2%
UP 47.8%52.2% DOWN
Low50.0%60 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low55.0%60 marketsWIN
Whale Flow AgentDOWN50.2%
UP 49.8%50.2% DOWN
Low46.7%60 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for DOGE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 05:25:00 UTC

05:25:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.05848ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD+2.6 bps0.05850ok
  • Coinbase−2.5 bps0.05847ok
Median of 3 sources$0.05848

Settlement · 05:30:00 UTC

05:30:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−0.7 bps0.05841ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD+0.1 bps0.05841ok
  • Coinbase0.0 bps0.05841ok
Median of 3 sources$0.05841

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min DOGE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
05:20 → 05:25Nov 150.058520.05848DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN55.3%WIN
05:15 → 05:20Nov 150.058360.05852UP6 / 9 DOWNUP50.2%WIN
05:10 → 05:15Nov 150.058250.05836UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN55.7%LOSS
05:05 → 05:10Nov 150.058350.05825DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN58.3%WIN
05:00 → 05:05Nov 150.058410.05835DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN66.7%WIN
04:55 → 05:00Nov 150.058620.05841DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN59.1%WIN
04:50 → 04:55Nov 150.058620.05862FLAT5 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.1%PUSH
04:45 → 04:50Nov 150.058520.05862UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN56.3%LOSS
04:40 → 04:45Nov 150.058580.05852DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN70.4%WIN
04:35 → 04:40Nov 150.058980.05858DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN58.3%WIN
04:30 → 04:35Nov 150.058890.05898UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.6%LOSS
04:25 → 04:30Nov 150.058740.05889UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.2%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on DOGE · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · DOGE 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Momentum Agent53.3%60 mkts
  2. 2Mean Reversion Agent60.0%60 mkts
  3. 3OI/Funding Agent55.0%60 mkts
  4. 4Liquidation Agent50.0%60 mkts
  5. 5Meta Agent56.7%60 mkts
  6. 6Order Flow Agent48.3%60 mkts

About this market

Dogecoin · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology