Skip to content
PROBORA

Market record

DOGE Up or Down · 5 Min

06:00 → 06:05 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled06:00 → 06:05 UTC

Market ID doge-5m-20261115-0600

Settled

Nov 15, 06:05:00 UTC

Price to beat

$0.05804
Index at 06:00:00

Final index

$0.05779

Settlement price

$0.05779
Index at 06:05:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
0.057790.057880.057980.0580706:0006:0106:0206:0306:05PTB 0.05804

Settlement $0.05779

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsWIN
DOWN53.1%Low
UP 46.9%53.1% DOWN
Historical accuracy
52.1%
71 markets
Model version
meta-doge5-v1
published 06:00:11 UTC

Base consensus

5 / 9 DOWN

55.6% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

Previous windowNext window

Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 06:00:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN57.1%
UP 42.9%57.1% DOWN
Medium50.7%71 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentDOWN53.8%
UP 46.2%53.8% DOWN
Medium52.1%71 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN59.7%
UP 40.3%59.7% DOWN
Medium57.7%71 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentUP54.5%
UP 54.5%45.5% DOWN
Medium52.1%71 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentUP50.5%
UP 50.5%49.5% DOWN
Low47.9%71 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentUP51.0%
UP 51.0%49.0% DOWN
Medium45.1%71 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentDOWN52.2%
UP 47.8%52.2% DOWN
Low49.3%71 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low50.7%71 marketsWIN
Whale Flow AgentUP50.2%
UP 50.2%49.8% DOWN
Low46.5%71 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for DOGE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 06:00:00 UTC

06:00:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.05804ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD+0.9 bps0.05804ok
  • Coinbase−6.5 bps0.05800ok
Median of 3 sources$0.05804

Settlement · 06:05:00 UTC

06:05:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+3.0 bps0.05781ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−3.0 bps0.05777ok
  • Coinbase——error
Median of 2 sources$0.05779

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min DOGE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
05:55 → 06:00Nov 150.058190.05804DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN57.6%WIN
05:50 → 05:55Nov 150.058230.05819DOWN9 / 9 DOWNDOWN62.8%WIN
05:45 → 05:50Nov 150.058270.05823DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN58.0%WIN
05:40 → 05:45Nov 150.058310.05827DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.2%WIN
05:35 → 05:40Nov 150.058220.05831UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN65.1%LOSS
05:30 → 05:35Nov 150.058410.05822DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.4%WIN
05:25 → 05:30Nov 150.058480.05841DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN62.8%WIN
05:20 → 05:25Nov 150.058520.05848DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN55.3%WIN
05:15 → 05:20Nov 150.058360.05852UP6 / 9 DOWNUP50.2%WIN
05:10 → 05:15Nov 150.058250.05836UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN55.7%LOSS
05:05 → 05:10Nov 150.058350.05825DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN58.3%WIN
05:00 → 05:05Nov 150.058410.05835DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN66.7%WIN

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on DOGE · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · DOGE 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1OI/Funding Agent50.7%71 mkts
  2. 2Momentum Agent52.1%71 mkts
  3. 3Mean Reversion Agent57.7%71 mkts
  4. 4Liquidation Agent49.3%71 mkts
  5. 5Order Flow Agent47.9%71 mkts
  6. 6Whale Flow Agent46.5%71 mkts

About this market

Dogecoin · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology