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PROBORA

Market record

DOGE Up or Down · 5 Min

06:05 → 06:10 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.

This window was cancelled (VOID)Offline at settlement

The network was not ingesting prices at the settlement instant. Markets are never settled late from historical data. The predictions below stay on the record as VOID: they are excluded from accuracy, calibration and learning.

Void06:05 → 06:10 UTC

Market ID doge-5m-20261115-0605

Settled

Nov 15, 06:10:00 UTC

Price to beat

$0.05779
Index at 06:05:00

Final index

—

Settlement price

—
Index at 06:10:00

Outcome

VOID
Immutable record
0.057740.057850.0579006:0506:0606:0706:0806:10PTB 0.05779
Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsVOID
DOWN63.6%High
UP 36.4%63.6% DOWN
Historical accuracy
52.1%
71 markets
Model version
meta-doge5-v1
published 06:05:04 UTC

Base consensus

8 / 9 DOWN

88.9% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 06:05:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN63.7%
UP 36.3%63.7% DOWN
Medium50.7%71 marketsVOID
Momentum AgentDOWN54.7%
UP 45.3%54.7% DOWN
Medium52.1%71 marketsVOID
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN54.8%
UP 45.2%54.8% DOWN
Medium57.7%71 marketsVOID
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN60.8%
UP 39.2%60.8% DOWN
Medium52.1%71 marketsVOID
Order Flow AgentDOWN51.0%
UP 49.0%51.0% DOWN
Low47.9%71 marketsVOID
Volatility AgentUP51.9%
UP 51.9%48.1% DOWN
Medium45.1%71 marketsVOID
Liquidation AgentDOWN52.2%
UP 47.8%52.2% DOWN
Low49.3%71 marketsVOID
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.3%
UP 49.7%50.3% DOWN
Low50.7%71 marketsVOID
Whale Flow AgentDOWN51.1%
UP 48.9%51.1% DOWN
Low46.5%71 marketsVOID

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for DOGE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 06:05:00 UTC

06:05:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+3.0 bps0.05781ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−3.0 bps0.05777ok
  • Coinbase——error
Median of 2 sources$0.05779

Settlement · 06:10:00 UTC

Available at settlement.

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min DOGE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
06:00 → 06:05Nov 150.058040.05779DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.1%WIN
05:55 → 06:00Nov 150.058190.05804DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN57.6%WIN
05:50 → 05:55Nov 150.058230.05819DOWN9 / 9 DOWNDOWN62.8%WIN
05:45 → 05:50Nov 150.058270.05823DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN58.0%WIN
05:40 → 05:45Nov 150.058310.05827DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.2%WIN
05:35 → 05:40Nov 150.058220.05831UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN65.1%LOSS
05:30 → 05:35Nov 150.058410.05822DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.4%WIN
05:25 → 05:30Nov 150.058480.05841DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN62.8%WIN
05:20 → 05:25Nov 150.058520.05848DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN55.3%WIN
05:15 → 05:20Nov 150.058360.05852UP6 / 9 DOWNUP50.2%WIN
05:10 → 05:15Nov 150.058250.05836UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN55.7%LOSS
05:05 → 05:10Nov 150.058350.05825DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN58.3%WIN

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on DOGE · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · DOGE 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1OI/Funding Agent50.7%71 mkts
  2. 2Momentum Agent52.1%71 mkts
  3. 3Mean Reversion Agent57.7%71 mkts
  4. 4Liquidation Agent49.3%71 mkts
  5. 5Order Flow Agent47.9%71 mkts
  6. 6Whale Flow Agent46.5%71 mkts

About this market

Dogecoin · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology